Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 05:01
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 4 over 1400m. SALON S, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won, with TURIN CHAMPIONS second and CROSSBORDERDUDE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SALON S Wire to wire 1:21.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 2.1 | — |
| 2 | 3 | TURIN CHAMPIONS Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 11 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CROSSBORDERDUDE Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | JUST FOLLOW ME K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CHILL PARTNERS M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 2 | 25.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER DRAGON Closed strongly Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 13 | 3.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | FALCON HUNTER C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | BLASTED TALENT M Guyon · C Fownes | M Guyon | C Fownes | 3 | 9.2 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | MAZING GRACE Closed strongly R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 12 | 70.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MOTOR K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR ELEGANCE Closed strongly J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 14 | 129.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GORGEOUS VICTORY Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 9 | 91.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | FOREVER FANCY D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 6 | 48.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUPER DRAGON | 30.4% | 3.28 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | SALON S | 29.5% | 3.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | TURIN CHAMPIONS | 7.5% | 13.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | BLASTED TALENT | 6.6% | 15.07 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | MOTOR | 6.2% | 16.07 | 11 |
| 6 | 14 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 4.1% | 24.67 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | CHILL PARTNERS | 3.2% | 30.93 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | GORGEOUS VICTORY | 2.3% | 44.28 | 13 |
| 9 | 10 | FALCON HUNTER | 2.2% | 45.62 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | FOREVER FANCY | 1.9% | 52.34 | 14 |
| 11 | 13 | MAZING GRACE | 1.8% | 56.32 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | JOLLY BRILLIANT | 1.6% | 63.03 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | STAR ELEGANCE | 1.5% | 64.59 | 12 |
| 14 | 6 | CROSSBORDERDUDE | 1.1% | 90.03 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 21
PLACE
2 11.5
3 42.5
6 105.5
QUINELLA
2,3 223
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 73
2,6 137.5
3,6 862
FORECAST
2,3 318
TIERCE
2,3,6 6,583
TRIO
2,3,6 2,123
FIRST 4
2,3,6,14 6,817
QUARTET
2,3,6,14 68,061