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Sha Tin · 2025-12-27 · 06:35

Race 4

Class 5 1800m 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-12-27 was Class 5 over 1800m. FOREMOST TEDDY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won, with SUPER HONG KONG second and ATOMIC BEAUTY third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.

Result

Official · 1:49.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 FOREMOST TEDDY Wire to wire 1:49.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum 3 2.9
2 9 SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly R Kingscote · C H Yip 2 18.0 2-3/4
3 4 ATOMIC BEAUTY A Atzeni · A S Cruz 6 14.0 3
4 11 GO GO GO H Bentley · W Y So 1 9.4 3-1/4
5 10 PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly M Guyon · K H Ting 12 16.0 5-1/2
6 5 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 7 14.0 5-1/2
7 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS L Ferraris · D Eustace 5 10.0 6-1/4
8 3 ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly Z Purton · B Crawford 9 7.0 8-1/2
9 6 FAMILY FORTUNE H Bowman · C Fownes 4 7.4 8-1/2
10 12 ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 14 75.0 9-3/4
11 8 SMART BEAUTY Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 35.0 9-3/4
12 2 SOARING BRONCO J Orman · P C Ng 8 19.0 10-3/4
13 14 MR ALADDIN M Chadwick · P C Ng 11 42.0 13-3/4
14 13 BINGO BABE H T Mo · Y S Tsui 13 91.0 21

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FOREMOST TEDDY2. SUPER HONG KONG+2.75L3. ATOMIC BEAUTY+3L4. GO GO GO+3.25L5. PHANTOM CYCLONE+5.5L6. MEEPMEEP+5.5L7. HAILTOTHEVICTORS+6.25L8. ALL ARE MINE+8.5L9. FAMILY FORTUNE+8.5L10. ALL EYES ON ME+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FOREMOST TEDDY (21.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FOREMOST TEDDY 21.6% 4.62 1
2 3 ALL ARE MINE 10.9% 9.19 8
3 6 FAMILY FORTUNE 9.9% 10.15 9
4 4 ATOMIC BEAUTY 8.8% 11.36 3
5 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS 7.8% 12.88 7
6 14 MR ALADDIN 6.6% 15.14 13
7 11 GO GO GO 6.4% 15.74 4
8 9 SUPER HONG KONG 6.3% 15.93 2
9 10 PHANTOM CYCLONE 6.1% 16.36 5
10 2 SOARING BRONCO 4.6% 21.56 12
11 5 MEEPMEEP 4.5% 22.41 6
12 8 SMART BEAUTY 3.2% 31.51 11
13 12 ALL EYES ON ME 1.9% 53.71 10
14 13 BINGO BABE 1.6% 62.89 14
FOREMOST TEDDY — wonALL ARE MINEFAMILY FORTUNEATOMIC BEAUTYHAILTOTHEVICTORSMR ALADDINGO GO GOSUPER HONG KONGPHANTOM CYCLONESOARING BRONCOMEEPMEEPSMART BEAUTYALL EYES ON MEBINGO BABE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 29

PLACE

4 38

7 15.5

9 51

QUINELLA

7,9 225.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 77.5

4,9 318.5

7,9 88

FORECAST

7,9 425

TIERCE

7,9,4 3,555

TRIO

4,7,9 1,017

FIRST 4

4,7,9,11 1,964

QUARTET

7,9,4,11 42,516

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,6,9/4,7,9 21,762

3RD DOUBLE

5/7 313

5/9 232.5