沙田 · 2026-03-15 · 06:00
NGA TSIN WAI HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-03-15沙田第4場「NGA TSIN WAI HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、B Crawford訓練的MR INCREDIBLE勝出。COME FAST FAY FAY獲得亞軍；HAPPY BRETHREN獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門FLYING SNIPER跑獲第7名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MR INCREDIBLE 1:09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 5.0 | — |
| 2 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY SR/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 12 | 20.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY BRETHREN XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SO MY FOLKS CP/XB/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 5 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | CHATER FLASH CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 56.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | ALABAMA SONG H A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | FLYING SNIPER Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN WIN K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 91.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT H- D B McMonagle · C H Yip | D B McMonagle | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | NYX GLUCK SR- H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 9 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | GET FRIENDLY XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 8 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | TOP MAESTRO V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 6 | 149.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ALWAYS FLUKE B/H/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | POLAR PATCH TT1 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FLYING SNIPER | 28.3% | 3.53 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY BRETHREN | 22.0% | 4.55 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | ALABAMA SONG | 12.2% | 8.21 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | MR INCREDIBLE | 9.3% | 10.72 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | NYX GLUCK | 8.0% | 12.50 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 5.1% | 19.69 | 2 |
| 7 | 11 | SO MY FOLKS | 4.6% | 21.62 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 3.9% | 25.80 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | GET FRIENDLY | 3.5% | 28.66 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | CHATER FLASH | 1.4% | 70.38 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | GOLDEN WIN | 0.9% | 116.20 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | TOP MAESTRO | 0.8% | 122.39 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 50
PLACE
4 19
5 17.5
12 48
QUINELLA
5,12 511
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 65.5
4,12 163.5
5,12 157.5
FORECAST
5,12 751
TIERCE
5,12,4 5,265
TRIO
4,5,12 744
FIRST 4
4,5,11,12 1,790
QUARTET
5,12,4,11 39,321
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
4/5 1,019.5
4/12 814.5