沙田 · 2026-03-15 · 08:35
LUNG KONG HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-03-15沙田第9場「LUNG KONG HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bentley策騎、W Y So訓練的DEVAS TWELVE勝出。HAPPY BOSS獲得亞軍；PERIDOT獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.5倍大熱門HAPPY BOSS跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（4）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DEVAS TWELVE 一路領先 TT 1:20.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 3 | 8.5 | — |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY BOSS 後段發力 CP/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 3.5 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | PERIDOT 後段發力 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 5 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | BIG RETURN H/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 8 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK 後段發力 TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 4 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | THE ALL ROUNDER 後段發力 PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 B2/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 7 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 後段發力 XB L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 1 | 6.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BRIGHT DAY V/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 13 | 29.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | MADE FOR LIFE 後段發力 CP1/TT K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 11 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SMART FIGHTER J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 29.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | FLYING KNIGHT B/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo | D B McMonagle | W K Mo | 9 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | LET'S HAVE FUN CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 17.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | RUN RUN SMART TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 17.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GORGEOUS VICTORY TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | TYCOON EXPRESS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DEVAS TWELVE | 18.0% | 5.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | HAPPY BOSS | 14.3% | 6.98 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FLYING KNIGHT | 7.8% | 12.77 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | BIG RETURN | 7.6% | 13.16 | 4 |
| 5 | 9 | AMAZING DUCK | 7.6% | 13.19 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | PERIDOT | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 7.5% | 13.42 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 5.0% | 19.85 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SMART FIGHTER | 5.0% | 19.87 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | THE ALL ROUNDER | 4.4% | 22.75 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | MADE FOR LIFE | 4.1% | 24.62 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | BRIGHT DAY | 4.0% | 25.19 | 9 |
| 13 | 2 | RUN RUN SMART | 3.7% | 26.81 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | LET'S HAVE FUN | 3.6% | 28.12 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 85
PLACE
3 16.5
5 28.5
13 36.5
QUINELLA
3,5 171
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 68.5
3,13 87
5,13 201.5
FORECAST
5,3 344
TIERCE
5,3,13 3,933
TRIO
3,5,13 701
FIRST 4
3,5,10,13 1,352
QUARTET
5,3,13,10 24,905
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/3,5,13 53,792
8TH DOUBLE
8/3 146
8/5 990