沙田 · 2026-03-15 · 06:30
NAM KOK HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-03-15沙田第5場「NAM KOK HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Orman策騎、D J Hall訓練的NEZHA勝出。CALIFORNIA STAR獲得亞軍；NIGHT PUROSANGUE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門HAPPY UNIVERSE跑獲第6名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NEZHA 後段發力 B 1:38.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 28.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | CALIFORNIA STAR 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP-/P1 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | BULL ATTITUDE 後段發力 CP-/B2 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 8 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | DAILY TROPHY 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 10 | 89.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 13 | FIREFOOT 後段發力 V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 7.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE 早段領放 CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 13 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | ARIEL B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 14 | 54.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum | D B McMonagle | C S Shum | 4 | 6.7 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | GOOD GOOD B-/PC2 B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 9.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | PRINCE ALEX B/XB/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 91.0 | 20 |
| 14 | 2 | SUPER LOVE P1/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 1 | 28.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FASHION LEGEND TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LESLIE B · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 15.7% | 6.36 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 14.5% | 6.91 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | NEVER PETER OUT | 12.0% | 8.33 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | BULL ATTITUDE | 10.5% | 9.52 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS | 7.5% | 13.41 | 11 |
| 6 | 13 | FIREFOOT | 7.0% | 14.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | SUPER LOVE | 6.9% | 14.57 | 14 |
| 8 | 1 | NEZHA | 6.8% | 14.76 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | GOOD GOOD | 4.6% | 21.55 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 4.2% | 23.87 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE | 3.5% | 28.24 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | ARIEL | 2.9% | 34.71 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | PRINCE ALEX | 2.1% | 48.68 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | DAILY TROPHY | 1.9% | 52.32 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 287
PLACE
1 81
5 21.5
11 69.5
QUINELLA
1,5 1,196.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 343.5
1,11 829
5,11 249
FORECAST
1,5 2,545
TIERCE
1,5,11 27,878
TRIO
1,5,11 3,390
FIRST 4
1,5,10,11 13,421
QUARTET
1,5,11,10 432,949
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/5/1 22,117
4/5/5 1,820
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,12/1,5,11 1,006,820
4TH DOUBLE
5/1 859
5/5 47