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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 06:30

NAM KOK HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1650m 14 runners

Race 5 ("NAM KOK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NEZHA, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Hall, won, with CALIFORNIA STAR second and NIGHT PUROSANGUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite HAPPY UNIVERSE finished 6th.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08 #13 FIREFOOT — Weight Change #14 PRINCE ALEX — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:38.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 NEZHA Closed strongly B 1:38.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Hall 2 28.0
2 5 CALIFORNIA STAR Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 12 6.1 3/4
3 11 NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP-/P1 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 11 27.0 1
4 10 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly CP-/B2 L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 8.0 1-1/4
5 6 NEVER PETER OUT V/TT H Bowman · F C Lor 8 13.0 1-3/4
6 7 HAPPY UNIVERSE P R Kingscote · K H Ting 5 4.0 2-1/2
7 8 DAILY TROPHY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 10 89.0 4-1/4
8 13 FIREFOOT Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 7 7.5 4-1/2
9 12 YODA'S CHOICE Led early CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 13 16.0 5-1/2
10 3 ARIEL B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 14 54.0 6-1/4
11 4 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 4 6.7 7-1/2
12 9 GOOD GOOD B-/PC2 B Avdulla · J Size 9 9.0 13-1/4
13 14 PRINCE ALEX B/XB/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte 6 91.0 20
14 2 SUPER LOVE P1/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip 1 28.0 20-1/2
0 FASHION LEGEND TT · D Eustace
0 LESLIE B · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NEZHA2. CALIFORNIA STAR+0.75L3. NIGHT PUROSANGUE+1L4. BULL ATTITUDE+1.25L5. NEVER PETER OUT+1.75L6. HAPPY UNIVERSE+2.5L7. DAILY TROPHY+4.25L8. FIREFOOT+4.5L9. YODA'S CHOICE+5.5L10. ARIEL+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HAPPY UNIVERSE (15.7%) finished 6th — the winner NEZHA was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 HAPPY UNIVERSE 15.7% 6.36 6
2 5 CALIFORNIA STAR 14.5% 6.91 2
3 6 NEVER PETER OUT 12.0% 8.33 5
4 10 BULL ATTITUDE 10.5% 9.52 4
5 4 FOREVER FOLKS 7.5% 13.41 11
6 13 FIREFOOT 7.0% 14.30 8
7 2 SUPER LOVE 6.9% 14.57 14
8 1 NEZHA 6.8% 14.76 1
9 9 GOOD GOOD 4.6% 21.55 12
10 11 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 4.2% 23.87 3
11 12 YODA'S CHOICE 3.5% 28.24 9
12 3 ARIEL 2.9% 34.71 10
13 14 PRINCE ALEX 2.1% 48.68 13
14 8 DAILY TROPHY 1.9% 52.32 7
HAPPY UNIVERSECALIFORNIA STARNEVER PETER OUTBULL ATTITUDEFOREVER FOLKSFIREFOOTSUPER LOVENEZHA — wonGOOD GOODNIGHT PUROSANGUEYODA'S CHOICEARIELPRINCE ALEXDAILY TROPHY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 287

PLACE

1 81

5 21.5

11 69.5

QUINELLA

1,5 1,196.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 343.5

1,11 829

5,11 249

FORECAST

1,5 2,545

TIERCE

1,5,11 27,878

TRIO

1,5,11 3,390

FIRST 4

1,5,10,11 13,421

QUARTET

1,5,11,10 432,949

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/5/1 22,117

4/5/5 1,820

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,12/1,5,11 1,006,820

4TH DOUBLE

5/1 859

5/5 47