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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 14:30

NAM KOK HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1650m 14 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08 #13 FIREFOOT — Weight Change #14 PRINCE ALEX — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:38.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 NEZHA Closed strongly B 1:38.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D J Hall 2 28.0 —
2 5 CALIFORNIA STAR Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 12 6.1 3/4
3 11 NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP-/P1 Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 11 27.0 1
4 10 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly CP-/B2 L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 8.0 1-1/4
5 6 NEVER PETER OUT V/TT H Bowman · F C Lor 8 13.0 1-3/4
6 7 HAPPY UNIVERSE P R Kingscote · K H Ting 5 4.0 2-1/2
7 8 DAILY TROPHY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes 10 89.0 4-1/4
8 13 FIREFOOT Closed strongly V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 7 7.5 4-1/2
9 12 YODA'S CHOICE Led early CP/TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 13 16.0 5-1/2
10 3 ARIEL B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 14 54.0 6-1/4
11 4 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 4 6.7 7-1/2
12 9 GOOD GOOD B-/PC2 B Avdulla · J Size 9 9.0 13-1/4
13 14 PRINCE ALEX B/XB/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte 6 91.0 20
14 2 SUPER LOVE P1/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip 1 28.0 20-1/2
— 0 FASHION LEGEND TT · D Eustace — — —
— 0 LESLIE B · C W Chang — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 ("NAM KOK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NEZHA, ridden by J Orman and trained by D J Hall, won, with CALIFORNIA STAR second and NIGHT PUROSANGUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite HAPPY UNIVERSE finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. NEZHA—2. CALIFORNIA STAR+0.75L3. NIGHT PUROSANGUE+1L4. BULL ATTITUDE+1.25L5. NEVER PETER OUT+1.75L6. HAPPY UNIVERSE+2.5L7. DAILY TROPHY+4.25L8. FIREFOOT+4.5L9. YODA'S CHOICE+5.5L10. ARIEL+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HAPPY UNIVERSE (15.7%) finished 6th — the winner NEZHA was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 HAPPY UNIVERSE 15.7% 6.36 6
2 5 CALIFORNIA STAR 14.5% 6.91 2
3 6 NEVER PETER OUT 12.0% 8.33 5
4 10 BULL ATTITUDE 10.5% 9.52 4
5 4 FOREVER FOLKS 7.5% 13.41 11
6 13 FIREFOOT 7.0% 14.30 8
7 2 SUPER LOVE 6.9% 14.57 14
8 1 NEZHA 6.8% 14.76 1
9 9 GOOD GOOD 4.6% 21.55 12
10 11 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 4.2% 23.87 3
11 12 YODA'S CHOICE 3.5% 28.24 9
12 3 ARIEL 2.9% 34.71 10
13 14 PRINCE ALEX 2.1% 48.68 13
14 8 DAILY TROPHY 1.9% 52.32 7
HAPPY UNIVERSECALIFORNIA STARNEVER PETER OUTBULL ATTITUDEFOREVER FOLKSFIREFOOTSUPER LOVENEZHA — wonGOOD GOODNIGHT PUROSANGUEYODA'S CHOICEARIELPRINCE ALEXDAILY TROPHY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 287

PLACE

1 81

5 21.5

11 69.5

QUINELLA

1,5 1,196.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 343.5

1,11 829

5,11 249

FORECAST

1,5 2,545

TIERCE

1,5,11 27,878

TRIO

1,5,11 3,390

FIRST 4

1,5,10,11 13,421

QUARTET

1,5,11,10 432,949

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/5/1 22,117

4/5/5 1,820

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,12/1,5,11 1,006,820

4TH DOUBLE

5/1 859

5/5 47