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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 07:00

THE LOK SIN TONG CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course C+3 13 runners

Race 6 ("THE LOK SIN TONG CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WE ARE HERO, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K L Man, won, with TURQUOISE VELOCITY second and GLOWING PRAISES third. The 2.7 favourite TURQUOISE VELOCITY finished 1st.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08 #13 LUCKY CANDY — Weight Change

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 WE ARE HERO V-/B2/TT ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K L Man 7 21.0
1 10 TURQUOISE VELOCITY ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K W Lui 9 2.7
3 2 GLOWING PRAISES TT K C Leung · C W Chang 1 25.0 NOSE
4 7 FAST RESPONDER SR-/B2 H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 17.0 N
5 12 LOOKING BRIGHT TT M F Poon · F C Lor 6 3.5 N
6 13 LUCKY CANDY TT A Badel · W K Mo 2 72.0 1/2
7 6 TOGETHER WE VALUE B2 Z Purton · C H Yip 3 7.7 1/2
8 5 THE UNIQUE STAR K Teetan · B Crawford 12 5.9 1-1/2
9 4 WHIZZ KID V/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 4 37.0 2
10 1 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H-/SR/TT Y L Chung · M Newnham 13 35.0 2-1/2
11 9 TACTICAL ACE XB/TT1 M Chadwick · W Y So 11 26.0 3
12 11 GIANT SPIRIT B2 H T Mo · Y S Tsui 10 123.0 3
13 8 MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size 8 84.0 3-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WE ARE HERO1. TURQUOISE VELOCITY3. GLOWING PRAISES+0.05L4. FAST RESPONDER+0.05L5. LOOKING BRIGHT+0.05L6. LUCKY CANDY+0.5L7. TOGETHER WE VALUE+0.5L8. THE UNIQUE STAR+1.5L9. WHIZZ KID+2L10. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS+2.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick THE UNIQUE STAR (19.4%) finished 8th — the winner TURQUOISE VELOCITY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 THE UNIQUE STAR 19.4% 5.16 8
2 6 TOGETHER WE VALUE 18.4% 5.43 7
3 10 TURQUOISE VELOCITY 16.9% 5.93 1
4 12 LOOKING BRIGHT 10.7% 9.34 5
5 8 MUST GO 6.9% 14.53 13
6 7 FAST RESPONDER 6.2% 16.10 4
7 2 GLOWING PRAISES 5.3% 18.86 3
8 4 WHIZZ KID 4.7% 21.43 9
9 1 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 3.7% 27.12 10
10 3 WE ARE HERO 3.1% 32.75 1
11 9 TACTICAL ACE 2.7% 37.66 11
12 13 LUCKY CANDY 1.1% 87.49 6
13 11 GIANT SPIRIT 1.0% 96.87 12
THE UNIQUE STARTOGETHER WE VALUETURQUOISE VELOCITY — wonLOOKING BRIGHTMUST GOFAST RESPONDERGLOWING PRAISESWHIZZ KIDYOUTHFUL SPIRITSWE ARE HERO — wonTACTICAL ACELUCKY CANDYGIANT SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 106

10 13.5

PLACE

2 53.5

3 49.5

10 13.5

QUINELLA

3,10 293.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 549.5

2,10 111.5

3,10 93.5

FORECAST

3,10 462

10,3 222

TIERCE

3,10,2 9,230

10,3,2 3,551

TRIO

2,3,10 2,099

FIRST 4

2,3,7,10 3,807

QUARTET

3,10,2,7 66,229

10,3,2,7 29,884

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/3 2,643.5

1/10 439.5