Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 09:45
CARPENTER HANDICAP
Race 11
Race 11 ("CARPENTER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FIT FOR BEAUTY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with MIGHTY MASTS second and PACKING GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly H 1:21.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 3.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | MIGHTY MASTS Closed strongly XB1/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 6.7 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | PACKING GLORY CP M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | DO YOU JUST H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 87.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly CP C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 1 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GHORGAN H/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 6.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | DRAGON ON SNOW H1/XB1 R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 5 | 67.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 7 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | RIDING TOGETHER Led early V/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 9 | 6.8 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | JOLTIN CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 3 | 81.0 | 12-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 20.0% | 5.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | PACKING GLORY | 18.4% | 5.44 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | GHORGAN | 17.1% | 5.85 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | MIGHTY MASTS | 9.9% | 10.12 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPER UNICORN | 8.8% | 11.36 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | RIDING TOGETHER | 8.7% | 11.47 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.8% | 21.00 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 4.0% | 25.19 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | KA YING SUPERB | 3.9% | 25.87 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | DRAGON ON SNOW | 2.1% | 47.40 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | DO YOU JUST | 1.4% | 71.72 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | JOLTIN | 1.1% | 94.77 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 30
PLACE
2 24.5
7 13.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
2,7 105
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 42.5
2,11 74
7,11 35.5
FORECAST
7,2 191
TIERCE
7,2,11 996
TRIO
2,7,11 182
FIRST 4
2,7,11,12 457
QUARTET
7,2,11,12 7,022
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
4/2 23
4/7 77.5
2ND TREBLE
5/4/2 252
5/4/7 671
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/2,7,11 2,444
SIX UP
3/1/8/5/4/7 1,500,689
3,10/1,12/7,8/3,5/4,9/2,7 856
10/1/8/5/4/7 76,864
1 [Z Purton] —
2 [J Size] —