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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 17:45

CARPENTER HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C+3 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08

Result

Official · 1:21.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly H 1:21.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 6 3.0 —
2 2 MIGHTY MASTS Closed strongly XB1/TT Z Purton · W Y So 12 6.7 SH
3 11 PACKING GLORY CP M Chadwick · P F Yiu 4 5.1 3/4
4 12 NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly B K Teetan · D J Hall 2 16.0 2-3/4
5 3 DO YOU JUST H/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 10 87.0 4
6 5 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly CP C L Chau · M Newnham 1 24.0 4-1/4
7 8 GHORGAN H/TT A Badel · K L Man 11 6.0 4-3/4
8 6 DRAGON ON SNOW H1/XB1 R Kingscote · D Eustace 5 67.0 5-3/4
9 4 NEW FUTURE FOLKS Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C W Chang 7 25.0 6
10 9 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 8 24.0 6-1/4
11 1 RIDING TOGETHER Led early V/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 9 6.8 9
12 10 JOLTIN CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 81.0 12-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 ("CARPENTER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FIT FOR BEAUTY, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with MIGHTY MASTS second and PACKING GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FIT FOR BEAUTY—2. MIGHTY MASTS+0.1L3. PACKING GLORY+0.75L4. NEVER TOO SOON+2.75L5. DO YOU JUST+4L6. SUPER UNICORN+4.25L7. GHORGAN+4.75L8. DRAGON ON SNOW+5.75L9. NEW FUTURE FOLKS+6L10. KA YING SUPERB+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FIT FOR BEAUTY (20.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 FIT FOR BEAUTY 20.0% 5.01 1
2 11 PACKING GLORY 18.4% 5.44 3
3 8 GHORGAN 17.1% 5.85 7
4 2 MIGHTY MASTS 9.9% 10.12 2
5 5 SUPER UNICORN 8.8% 11.36 6
6 1 RIDING TOGETHER 8.7% 11.47 11
7 12 NEVER TOO SOON 4.8% 21.00 4
8 4 NEW FUTURE FOLKS 4.0% 25.19 9
9 9 KA YING SUPERB 3.9% 25.87 10
10 6 DRAGON ON SNOW 2.1% 47.40 8
11 3 DO YOU JUST 1.4% 71.72 5
12 10 JOLTIN 1.1% 94.77 12
FIT FOR BEAUTY — wonPACKING GLORYGHORGANMIGHTY MASTSSUPER UNICORNRIDING TOGETHERNEVER TOO SOONNEW FUTURE FOLKSKA YING SUPERBDRAGON ON SNOWDO YOU JUSTJOLTIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 30

PLACE

2 24.5

7 13.5

11 18.5

QUINELLA

2,7 105

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 42.5

2,11 74

7,11 35.5

FORECAST

7,2 191

TIERCE

7,2,11 996

TRIO

2,7,11 182

FIRST 4

2,7,11,12 457

QUARTET

7,2,11,12 7,022

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

4/2 23

4/7 77.5

2ND TREBLE

5/4/2 252

5/4/7 671

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,9/2,7,11 2,444

SIX UP

3/1/8/5/4/7 1,500,689

3,10/1,12/7,8/3,5/4,9/2,7 856

10/1/8/5/4/7 76,864

2 [J Size] —

1 [Z Purton] —