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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 05:30

NGA TSIN WAI HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 3 ("NGA TSIN WAI HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CALL ME SPARKLE, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K W Lui, won, with SUPREME VOYAGER second and CROSSBORDERDUDE third. The 1.8 favourite CROSSBORDERDUDE finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08 #12 CIRRUS SPEED — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 CALL ME SPARKLE H1/TT1 1:09.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 23.0
2 9 SUPREME VOYAGER TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 12 124.0 HD
3 1 CROSSBORDERDUDE B Z Purton · J Size 5 1.8 N
4 2 MASTER PHOENIX B L Ferraris · D Eustace 2 13.0 1/2
5 5 MALPENSA XB/TT J Orman · W Y So 10 5.9 1/2
6 12 CIRRUS SPEED M F Poon · D J Hall 8 57.0 3/4
7 8 SEA CHARIOT TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo 11 18.0 2-1/4
8 7 RUSSET GLOW TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 1 12.0 2-1/4
9 11 RUBY SAILING TT M Chadwick · K L Man 4 15.0 4-1/2
10 3 BRILLIANT WINNER H1/XB1/TT1 C L Chau · F C Lor 6 51.0 9-1/2
11 6 PERFECT TRIUMPH TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes 7 10.0 11-3/4
12 10 BULLISH PRIDE K Teetan · B Crawford 9 21.0 13-3/4
0 GOKO WIN B · D J Whyte
0 LUCKY SECRET TT · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALL ME SPARKLE2. SUPREME VOYAGER+0.2L3. CROSSBORDERDUDE+0.05L4. MASTER PHOENIX+0.5L5. MALPENSA+0.5L6. CIRRUS SPEED+0.75L7. SEA CHARIOT+2.25L8. RUSSET GLOW+2.25L9. RUBY SAILING+4.5L10. BRILLIANT WINNER+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CROSSBORDERDUDE (36.4%) finished 3rd — the winner CALL ME SPARKLE was rated #10. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 CROSSBORDERDUDE 36.4% 2.75 3
2 6 PERFECT TRIUMPH 13.0% 7.68 11
3 5 MALPENSA 10.1% 9.94 5
4 2 MASTER PHOENIX 8.6% 11.60 4
5 11 RUBY SAILING 7.1% 14.01 9
6 7 RUSSET GLOW 6.1% 16.33 8
7 8 SEA CHARIOT 4.5% 22.18 7
8 12 CIRRUS SPEED 3.5% 28.42 6
9 3 BRILLIANT WINNER 3.2% 31.29 10
10 4 CALL ME SPARKLE 2.9% 34.23 1
11 10 BULLISH PRIDE 2.4% 41.34 12
12 9 SUPREME VOYAGER 2.1% 48.17 2
CROSSBORDERDUDEPERFECT TRIUMPHMALPENSAMASTER PHOENIXRUBY SAILINGRUSSET GLOWSEA CHARIOTCIRRUS SPEEDBRILLIANT WINNERCALL ME SPARKLE — wonBULLISH PRIDESUPREME VOYAGER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 236.5

PLACE

1 10.5

4 56.5

9 231

QUINELLA

4,9 12,267

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 83

1,9 337.5

4,9 2,566

FORECAST

4,9 17,033

TIERCE

4,9,1 85,975

TRIO

1,4,9 6,971

FIRST 4

1,2,4,9 10,946

QUARTET

4,9,1,2 565,590

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,8,9/1,4,9 215,395

2ND DOUBLE

9/4 934.5

9/9 531