Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 08:05
JUNCTION HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("JUNCTION HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. THUNDER BLAZE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won, with ROMANTIC THOR second and DEFINITIVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite ROMANTIC THOR finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THUNDER BLAZE Closed strongly XB 1:38.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | ROMANTIC THOR Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | DEFINITIVE Closed strongly B/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 7 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS P1/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | SKY VINO TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 12 | 8.1 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | ALLCASH Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 9.4 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | STURDY RUBY B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 1 | 47.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 5 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | OSI HONOUR K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 11 | 27.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ROMANTIC THOR | 38.7% | 2.59 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 12.1% | 8.30 | 11 |
| 3 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION | 8.5% | 11.71 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | ALLCASH | 8.3% | 12.10 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | THUNDER BLAZE | 6.8% | 14.65 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 5.5% | 18.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | SKY VINO | 4.9% | 20.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.8% | 20.88 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | DEFINITIVE | 3.9% | 25.40 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | OSI HONOUR | 2.2% | 44.45 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | STURDY RUBY | 2.2% | 44.64 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 2.0% | 49.11 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 114.5
PLACE
4 34
7 13.5
8 40
QUINELLA
7,8 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 72.5
4,8 223.5
7,8 62.5
FORECAST
8,7 392
TIERCE
8,7,4 4,667
TRIO
4,7,8 765
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 1,978
QUARTET
8,7,4,1 45,649
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/7 37
1/8 1,132