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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 16:05

JUNCTION HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1650m 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08 #11 ALLCASH — Weight Change #6 SUPER JOY N FUN — Weight Change #7 ROMANTIC THOR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:38.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 THUNDER BLAZE Closed strongly XB 1:38.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall 3 11.0 —
2 7 ROMANTIC THOR Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 2 2.7 SH
3 4 DEFINITIVE Closed strongly B/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 7 14.0 1/2
4 1 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 11.0 1-1/2
5 9 THRIVING BROTHERS P1/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 8 17.0 1-3/4
6 5 SKY VINO TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 12 8.1 2
7 3 TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui 6 12.0 2-3/4
8 11 ALLCASH Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 4 9.4 3
9 10 STURDY RUBY B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 1 47.0 3-3/4
10 6 SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 5 37.0 5
11 2 DRAGON AIR FORCE TT H Bowman · P F Yiu 9 6.5 6-1/2
12 12 OSI HONOUR K Teetan · B Crawford 11 27.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 ("JUNCTION HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. THUNDER BLAZE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won, with ROMANTIC THOR second and DEFINITIVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite ROMANTIC THOR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. THUNDER BLAZE—2. ROMANTIC THOR+0.1L3. DEFINITIVE+0.5L4. TALENTS AMBITION+1.5L5. THRIVING BROTHERS+1.75L6. SKY VINO+2L7. TELECOM FIGHTERS+2.75L8. ALLCASH+3L9. STURDY RUBY+3.75L10. SUPER JOY N FUN+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROMANTIC THOR (38.7%) finished 2nd — the winner THUNDER BLAZE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 ROMANTIC THOR 38.7% 2.59 2
2 2 DRAGON AIR FORCE 12.1% 8.30 11
3 1 TALENTS AMBITION 8.5% 11.71 4
4 11 ALLCASH 8.3% 12.10 8
5 8 THUNDER BLAZE 6.8% 14.65 1
6 9 THRIVING BROTHERS 5.5% 18.22 5
7 5 SKY VINO 4.9% 20.32 6
8 3 TELECOM FIGHTERS 4.8% 20.88 7
9 4 DEFINITIVE 3.9% 25.40 3
10 12 OSI HONOUR 2.2% 44.45 12
11 10 STURDY RUBY 2.2% 44.64 9
12 6 SUPER JOY N FUN 2.0% 49.11 10
ROMANTIC THORDRAGON AIR FORCETALENTS AMBITIONALLCASHTHUNDER BLAZE — wonTHRIVING BROTHERSSKY VINOTELECOM FIGHTERSDEFINITIVEOSI HONOURSTURDY RUBYSUPER JOY N FUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 114.5

PLACE

4 34

7 13.5

8 40

QUINELLA

7,8 159.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 72.5

4,8 223.5

7,8 62.5

FORECAST

8,7 392

TIERCE

8,7,4 4,667

TRIO

4,7,8 765

FIRST 4

1,4,7,8 1,978

QUARTET

8,7,4,1 45,649

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

1/7 37

1/8 1,132