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Sha Tin · 2026-03-15 · 08:35

LUNG KONG HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Race 9 ("LUNG KONG HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. DEVAS TWELVE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won, with HAPPY BOSS second and PERIDOT third. The winner led throughout. The 3.5 favourite HAPPY BOSS finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Penetrometer 2.71 Hammer 9.08 #12 SPECIAL HEDGE — Weight Change #7 BRIGHT DAY — Code 96 #7 BRIGHT DAY — Jockey Change #7 BRIGHT DAY — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 DEVAS TWELVE Wire to wire TT 1:20.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 3 8.5
2 3 HAPPY BOSS Closed strongly CP/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 2 3.5 SH
3 13 PERIDOT Closed strongly A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 11.0 1-1/2
4 10 BIG RETURN H/TT A Badel · J Richards 8 12.0 2-1/4
5 9 AMAZING DUCK Closed strongly TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 4 7.6 2-1/4
6 14 THE ALL ROUNDER Closed strongly PC M F Poon · P C Ng 12 46.0 3-1/4
7 12 SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly B2/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 7 23.0 4
8 1 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · B Crawford 1 6.5 4-1/4
9 7 BRIGHT DAY V/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 13 29.0 6
10 11 MADE FOR LIFE Closed strongly CP1/TT K Teetan · M Newnham 11 28.0 6-1/2
11 8 SMART FIGHTER J Orman · P F Yiu 6 29.0 7-1/2
12 6 FLYING KNIGHT B/TT D B McMonagle · W K Mo 9 12.0 8-3/4
13 4 LET'S HAVE FUN CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 10 17.0 9-1/2
14 2 RUN RUN SMART TT K C Leung · F C Lor 14 17.0 12-1/2
0 GORGEOUS VICTORY TT · C S Shum
7 TYCOON EXPRESS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DEVAS TWELVE2. HAPPY BOSS+0.1L3. PERIDOT+1.5L4. BIG RETURN+2.25L5. AMAZING DUCK+2.25L6. THE ALL ROUNDER+3.25L7. SPECIAL HEDGE+4L8. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+4.25L9. BRIGHT DAY+6L10. MADE FOR LIFE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DEVAS TWELVE (18.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 DEVAS TWELVE 18.0% 5.57 1
2 3 HAPPY BOSS 14.3% 6.98 2
3 6 FLYING KNIGHT 7.8% 12.77 12
4 10 BIG RETURN 7.6% 13.16 4
5 9 AMAZING DUCK 7.6% 13.19 5
6 13 PERIDOT 7.5% 13.38 3
7 1 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 7.5% 13.42 8
8 12 SPECIAL HEDGE 5.0% 19.85 7
9 8 SMART FIGHTER 5.0% 19.87 11
10 14 THE ALL ROUNDER 4.4% 22.75 6
11 11 MADE FOR LIFE 4.1% 24.62 10
12 7 BRIGHT DAY 4.0% 25.19 9
13 2 RUN RUN SMART 3.7% 26.81 14
14 4 LET'S HAVE FUN 3.6% 28.12 13
DEVAS TWELVE — wonHAPPY BOSSFLYING KNIGHTBIG RETURNAMAZING DUCKPERIDOTEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSSPECIAL HEDGESMART FIGHTERTHE ALL ROUNDERMADE FOR LIFEBRIGHT DAYRUN RUN SMARTLET'S HAVE FUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 85

PLACE

3 16.5

5 28.5

13 36.5

QUINELLA

3,5 171

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 68.5

3,13 87

5,13 201.5

FORECAST

5,3 344

TIERCE

5,3,13 3,933

TRIO

3,5,13 701

FIRST 4

3,5,10,13 1,352

QUARTET

5,3,13,10 24,905

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,8/3,5,13 53,792

8TH DOUBLE

8/3 146

8/5 990