跑馬地 · 2026-03-18 · 11:40
BELLFLOWER HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-03-18跑馬地第3場「BELLFLOWER HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由R Kingscote策騎、M Newnham訓練的NOTTHESILLYONE勝出。BEAUTY THUNDER獲得亞軍；HAPPY UNITED獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門BEAUTY THUNDER跑獲第2名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT 0:56.57 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 12 | 26.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT Z Purton · W K Mo | Z Purton | W K Mo | 9 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY UNITED P2/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 8 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | SAVVY TWINKLE XB/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 6.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WATCH THIS ONE V/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 8.4 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | CAPTAIN LINK B2/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 66.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.7 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | SIR CHARGE H-/B1/TT- B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 10 | 67.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | PACKING PHOENIX TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 32.0% | 3.12 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 10.5% | 9.52 | 6 |
| 3 | 8 | WATCH THIS ONE | 9.4% | 10.66 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | PARENTS' LOVE | 9.2% | 10.91 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 8.9% | 11.18 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | HEROIC MASTER | 7.6% | 13.18 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 6.1% | 16.51 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | HARMONY FIRE | 4.6% | 21.96 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY UNITED | 4.1% | 24.22 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | SIR CHARGE | 3.2% | 31.37 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 3.0% | 33.08 | 1 |
| 12 | 2 | CAPTAIN LINK | 1.4% | 69.67 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 262.5
PLACE
3 15.5
5 75.5
11 42.5
QUINELLA
3,5 689
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 225
3,11 135.5
5,11 727.5
FORECAST
5,3 1,574
TIERCE
5,3,11 24,554
TRIO
3,5,11 3,447
FIRST 4
3,5,9,11 5,839
QUARTET
5,3,11,9 175,967
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,9/3,5,11 287,208
2ND DOUBLE
2/3 55.5
2/5 1,169