跑馬地 · 2026-04-08 · 12:40
THE SPORTS CLUB DIAMOND JUBILEE CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)
第 5場
2026-04-08跑馬地第5場「THE SPORTS CLUB DIAMOND JUBILEE CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SMART FIGHTER勝出。BRIGHT DAY獲得亞軍；FREE PONY獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門MONARCH COUNTY跑獲第7名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SMART FIGHTER 1:09.93 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY V/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 1 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | FREE PONY P J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | FORERUNNER CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 8 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SAME TO YOU H/P/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 33.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | MONARCH COUNTY B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 11 | 161.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | A TIME FOR US B/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 10 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | STAR FIGURE B-/TT- A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 7 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | JOKER ORBIT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | FLYING CHRISTIE PC-/H/XB/V1/TT R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 3 | 223.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL CP-/TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | AQUAMAN CP/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MONARCH COUNTY | 22.5% | 4.44 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | SMART FIGHTER | 17.3% | 5.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | FREE PONY | 14.9% | 6.70 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | STAR FIGURE | 9.5% | 10.49 | 10 |
| 5 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY | 9.4% | 10.59 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | JOKER ORBIT | 5.0% | 20.16 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | A TIME FOR US | 4.8% | 20.77 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | SAME TO YOU | 4.7% | 21.22 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | FIND MY LOVE | 3.8% | 26.46 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | FORERUNNER | 3.7% | 26.68 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 3.2% | 31.24 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 1.0% | 100.81 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 40.5
PLACE
5 19.5
6 26.5
9 15.5
QUINELLA
5,9 138.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 79.5
5,9 47.5
6,9 65.5
FORECAST
9,5 255
TIERCE
9,5,6 2,251
TRIO
5,6,9 454
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 1,174
QUARTET
9,5,6,7 19,096
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
4/7/5 201
4/7/9 771
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,7/5,6,9 8,351
4TH DOUBLE
7/5 60.5
7/9 219.5