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Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 12:40

THE SPORTS CLUB DIAMOND JUBILEE CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 5 ("THE SPORTS CLUB DIAMOND JUBILEE CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SMART FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won, with BRIGHT DAY second and FREE PONY third. The 2.5 favourite MONARCH COUNTY finished 7th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #12 FLYING CHRISTIE — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.93
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 SMART FIGHTER 1:09.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu 5 4.0
2 5 BRIGHT DAY V/TT P N Wong · K L Man 1 5.3 1/2
3 6 FREE PONY P J Orman · C W Chang 2 10.0 1-1/4
4 7 FORERUNNER CP/TT A Badel · W K Mo 8 17.0 1-1/2
5 11 SAME TO YOU H/P/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 9 33.0 1-3/4
6 4 FIND MY LOVE B/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 6 11.0 2
7 2 MONARCH COUNTY B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 4 2.5 2-1/4
8 8 MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 11 161.0 2-1/4
9 1 A TIME FOR US B/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui 10 32.0 2-1/2
10 10 STAR FIGURE B-/TT- A Atzeni · J Richards 7 17.0 4
11 3 JOKER ORBIT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 12 51.0 4-3/4
12 12 FLYING CHRISTIE PC-/H/XB/V1/TT R Kingscote · P C Ng 3 223.0 6-1/2
0 NORTHERN FIRE BALL CP-/TT · C H Yip
0 AQUAMAN CP/TT · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART FIGHTER2. BRIGHT DAY+0.5L3. FREE PONY+1.25L4. FORERUNNER+1.5L5. SAME TO YOU+1.75L6. FIND MY LOVE+2L7. MONARCH COUNTY+2.25L8. MARVEL AND GOLD+2.25L9. A TIME FOR US+2.5L10. STAR FIGURE+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MONARCH COUNTY (22.5%) finished 7th — the winner SMART FIGHTER was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 MONARCH COUNTY 22.5% 4.44 7
2 9 SMART FIGHTER 17.3% 5.77 1
3 6 FREE PONY 14.9% 6.70 3
4 10 STAR FIGURE 9.5% 10.49 10
5 5 BRIGHT DAY 9.4% 10.59 2
6 3 JOKER ORBIT 5.0% 20.16 11
7 1 A TIME FOR US 4.8% 20.77 9
8 11 SAME TO YOU 4.7% 21.22 5
9 4 FIND MY LOVE 3.8% 26.46 6
10 7 FORERUNNER 3.7% 26.68 4
11 8 MARVEL AND GOLD 3.2% 31.24 8
12 12 FLYING CHRISTIE 1.0% 100.81 12
MONARCH COUNTYSMART FIGHTER — wonFREE PONYSTAR FIGUREBRIGHT DAYJOKER ORBITA TIME FOR USSAME TO YOUFIND MY LOVEFORERUNNERMARVEL AND GOLDFLYING CHRISTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 40.5

PLACE

5 19.5

6 26.5

9 15.5

QUINELLA

5,9 138.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 79.5

5,9 47.5

6,9 65.5

FORECAST

9,5 255

TIERCE

9,5,6 2,251

TRIO

5,6,9 454

FIRST 4

5,6,7,9 1,174

QUARTET

9,5,6,7 19,096

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

4/7/5 201

4/7/9 771

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,7/5,6,9 8,351

4TH DOUBLE

7/5 60.5

7/9 219.5