Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 12:10
D'AGUILAR HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("D'AGUILAR HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN BRILLIANT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with MIGHTY STEED second and ALL ROUND WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 1:39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 7 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 2 | MIGHTY STEED CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 8 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | ALL ROUND WINNER B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD Led early B/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | EXCELLENT BOY CP M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 4 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | MADE FOR LIFE CP/TT R Kingscote · M Newnham | R Kingscote | M Newnham | 1 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | WHOWROTETHATSONG Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 10 | 172.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | SMILING ONE B1/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 181.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | INCANTO STAR B J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | AUTOMATED Closed strongly H1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 98.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | WINNING DATA V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | KING OF SELECTION B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 2 | 112.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | THE AZURE · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HARMONY GALAXY TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT | 34.7% | 2.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | EXCELLENT BOY | 14.8% | 6.77 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 12.5% | 8.03 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | MIGHTY STEED | 10.6% | 9.44 | 2 |
| 5 | 8 | INCANTO STAR | 9.3% | 10.78 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 6.6% | 15.14 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | WINNING DATA | 3.7% | 27.24 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | MADE FOR LIFE | 2.0% | 49.06 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | AUTOMATED | 2.0% | 51.02 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | KING OF SELECTION | 1.6% | 62.01 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | SMILING ONE | 1.3% | 79.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | WHOWROTETHATSONG | 1.0% | 99.89 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 39
PLACE
1 23.5
2 16.5
7 16.5
QUINELLA
2,7 105.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 47.5
1,7 53.5
2,7 43
FORECAST
7,2 181
TIERCE
7,2,1 1,022
TRIO
1,2,7 207
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 267
QUARTET
7,2,1,5 4,474
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
4/2 46.5
4/7 140.5