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Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 20:10

D'AGUILAR HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 GOLDEN BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 1:39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 7 3.9 —
2 2 MIGHTY STEED CP Z Purton · K W Lui 8 3.9 3/4
3 1 ALL ROUND WINNER B H Bentley · D A Hayes 5 6.3 1-1/2
4 5 AMAZING AWARD Led early B/TT H Bowman · D Eustace 9 10.0 2
5 11 EXCELLENT BOY CP M Chadwick · C W Chang 4 6.3 2-1/2
6 12 MADE FOR LIFE CP/TT R Kingscote · M Newnham 1 8.3 3-1/2
7 9 WHOWROTETHATSONG Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 10 172.0 3-3/4
8 6 SMILING ONE B1/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting 6 181.0 5-1/4
9 8 INCANTO STAR B J Orman · D J Hall 3 10.0 6-1/4
10 4 AUTOMATED Closed strongly H1/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 11 98.0 6-3/4
11 10 WINNING DATA V K Teetan · P F Yiu 12 21.0 7
12 3 KING OF SELECTION B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 2 112.0 8-1/4
— 0 THE AZURE · F C Lor — — —
— 0 HARMONY GALAXY TT · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("D'AGUILAR HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN BRILLIANT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with MIGHTY STEED second and ALL ROUND WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN BRILLIANT—2. MIGHTY STEED+0.75L3. ALL ROUND WINNER+1.5L4. AMAZING AWARD+2L5. EXCELLENT BOY+2.5L6. MADE FOR LIFE+3.5L7. WHOWROTETHATSONG+3.75L8. SMILING ONE+5.25L9. INCANTO STAR+6.25L10. AUTOMATED+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOLDEN BRILLIANT (34.7%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 GOLDEN BRILLIANT 34.7% 2.88 1
2 11 EXCELLENT BOY 14.8% 6.77 5
3 1 ALL ROUND WINNER 12.5% 8.03 3
4 2 MIGHTY STEED 10.6% 9.44 2
5 8 INCANTO STAR 9.3% 10.78 9
6 5 AMAZING AWARD 6.6% 15.14 4
7 10 WINNING DATA 3.7% 27.24 11
8 12 MADE FOR LIFE 2.0% 49.06 6
9 4 AUTOMATED 2.0% 51.02 10
10 3 KING OF SELECTION 1.6% 62.01 12
11 6 SMILING ONE 1.3% 79.58 8
12 9 WHOWROTETHATSONG 1.0% 99.89 7
GOLDEN BRILLIANT — wonEXCELLENT BOYALL ROUND WINNERMIGHTY STEEDINCANTO STARAMAZING AWARDWINNING DATAMADE FOR LIFEAUTOMATEDKING OF SELECTIONSMILING ONEWHOWROTETHATSONG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 39

PLACE

1 23.5

2 16.5

7 16.5

QUINELLA

2,7 105.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 47.5

1,7 53.5

2,7 43

FORECAST

7,2 181

TIERCE

7,2,1 1,022

TRIO

1,2,7 207

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 267

QUARTET

7,2,1,5 4,474

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

4/2 46.5

4/7 140.5