Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 14:50
ON LAN HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("ON LAN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT HERMOSO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won, with HARMONY N BLESSED second and MEOWTH third. The 2.9 favourite MIGHTY COMMANDER finished 8th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SIGHT HERMOSO H 1:09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 3.4 | — |
| 2 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 8 | 31.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | MEOWTH CP/SR/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 6 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 136.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FLYING WROTE TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 62.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | WINGS OF WAR B B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 7 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | MIGHTY COMMANDER TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | KING OF FIGHTERS K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | VULCANUS B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 145.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | RED SEA CP1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 8.9 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | FLYING HUNTER B- M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 1 | 88.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MATTERS MOST B/TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 29.3% | 3.41 | 8 |
| 2 | 1 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 20.1% | 4.98 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 13.1% | 7.63 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | MEOWTH | 8.4% | 11.91 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | RED SEA | 8.2% | 12.26 | 11 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING WROTE | 5.8% | 17.33 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 4.1% | 24.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | WINGS OF WAR | 3.1% | 32.15 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 2.8% | 36.10 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | FLYING HUNTER | 2.3% | 44.12 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 1.6% | 61.85 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | VULCANUS | 1.3% | 77.35 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 34
PLACE
1 15
2 60.5
12 24.5
QUINELLA
1,2 404.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 129
1,12 47.5
2,12 247.5
FORECAST
1,2 552
TIERCE
1,2,12 4,598
TRIO
1,2,12 959
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 17,755
QUARTET
1,2,12,5 224,952
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/4/1 448
1/4/2 1,061
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/1,2,12 30,144
8TH DOUBLE
4/1 118.5
4/2 134.5
SIX UP
2,7/5,9/2,11/1,2/4,12/1,2 1,274
7/9/2/1/4/1 12,012
1 [C Fownes] —
1 [J Moreira] —