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Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 10:40

COCHRANE HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 1 ("COCHRANE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DECISION LINK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with THOUSAND CUPS second and CHILL MASTER third. The 4.6 favourite CHILL MASTER finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.50
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 DECISION LINK V1/TT 1:09.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 12 5.3
2 7 THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 13.0 1/2
3 11 CHILL MASTER B/TT C L Chau · K L Man 2 4.6 1/2
4 12 TEAM HAPPY B/TT- K Teetan · C W Chang 6 18.0 3/4
5 3 BLUE BARON CP-/XB-/TT- L Hewitson · B Crawford 8 10.0 1-1/4
6 9 REWARDING TWINKLE SR/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 9 10.0 2
7 8 PODIUM B/TT H Bowman · D Eustace 11 24.0 2-1/4
8 4 CONCORDE STAR B2/TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 1 5.7 2-1/4
9 6 SPARKLE AND GOLD CP-/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 4 44.0 2-3/4
10 5 ONE AND ONLY B-/XB-/TT- M L Yeung · J Richards 5 45.0 5-1/4
11 2 LEGENDARY IMPACT B-/CP2/TT A Badel · W K Mo 7 52.0 5-1/4
12 10 ALWAYS MY FOLKS B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 10 4.7 5-3/4
0 TURF PHOENIX B/TT · K H Ting
0 NEBRASKAN B/TT · J Size

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DECISION LINK2. THOUSAND CUPS+0.5L3. CHILL MASTER+0.5L4. TEAM HAPPY+0.75L5. BLUE BARON+1.25L6. REWARDING TWINKLE+2L7. PODIUM+2.25L8. CONCORDE STAR+2.25L9. SPARKLE AND GOLD+2.75L10. ONE AND ONLY+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DECISION LINK (20.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DECISION LINK 20.4% 4.90 1
2 4 CONCORDE STAR 18.9% 5.29 8
3 10 ALWAYS MY FOLKS 10.9% 9.21 12
4 11 CHILL MASTER 8.8% 11.43 3
5 3 BLUE BARON 8.1% 12.38 5
6 9 REWARDING TWINKLE 7.5% 13.40 6
7 12 TEAM HAPPY 6.2% 16.26 4
8 7 THOUSAND CUPS 5.4% 18.57 2
9 8 PODIUM 4.6% 21.74 7
10 6 SPARKLE AND GOLD 4.1% 24.60 9
11 2 LEGENDARY IMPACT 3.5% 28.21 11
12 5 ONE AND ONLY 1.8% 55.33 10
DECISION LINK — wonCONCORDE STARALWAYS MY FOLKSCHILL MASTERBLUE BARONREWARDING TWINKLETEAM HAPPYTHOUSAND CUPSPODIUMSPARKLE AND GOLDLEGENDARY IMPACTONE AND ONLY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 53.5

PLACE

1 22

7 44

11 16.5

QUINELLA

1,7 488

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 156.5

1,11 65

7,11 114.5

FORECAST

1,7 934

TIERCE

1,7,11 3,457

TRIO

1,7,11 568

FIRST 4

1,7,11,12 1,965

QUARTET

1,7,11,12 37,348