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Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 11:10

D'AGUILAR HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 2 ("D'AGUILAR HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GENERAL REDWOOD, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by C S Shum, won, with VIVACIOUS WIN second and YIU CHEUNG VICTORY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.1 favourite VIVACIOUS WIN finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.43
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 GENERAL REDWOOD Wire to wire CP/TT 1:39.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · C S Shum 6 10.0
2 12 VIVACIOUS WIN B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 8 3.1 SH
3 10 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY A Badel · C H Yip 2 7.2 4
4 5 FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham 9 13.0 4-1/4
5 6 CELTIC TIMES B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 1 35.0 4-3/4
6 11 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON Closed strongly CP-/BO1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 3 139.0 5
7 1 BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 5 3.8 5
8 4 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly PC1 L Hewitson · P C Ng 12 29.0 5-1/2
9 9 PRECISION HOPE Closed strongly H Bentley · D A Hayes 10 19.0 6-1/4
10 3 VERMILION TEMPEST PC1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 7 5.5 6-3/4
11 8 GOLDEN DARCI CP-/XB J Orman · D J Whyte 4 86.0 10-3/4
12 2 OSI HONOUR CP/TT2 M L Yeung · B Crawford 11 173.0 15-1/4
0 RUN RUN TIMING V · P F Yiu
0 TO INFINITY · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GENERAL REDWOOD2. VIVACIOUS WIN+0.1L3. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY+4L4. FORTUNE STAR+4.25L5. CELTIC TIMES+4.75L6. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON+5L7. BEAUTY VIVA+5L8. AESTHETICISM+5.5L9. PRECISION HOPE+6.25L10. VERMILION TEMPEST+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BEAUTY VIVA (24.3%) finished 7th — the winner GENERAL REDWOOD was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BEAUTY VIVA 24.3% 4.12 7
2 12 VIVACIOUS WIN 22.9% 4.36 2
3 3 VERMILION TEMPEST 13.8% 7.25 10
4 5 FORTUNE STAR 11.4% 8.78 4
5 4 AESTHETICISM 6.1% 16.38 8
6 9 PRECISION HOPE 4.8% 20.83 9
7 10 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 4.6% 21.63 3
8 6 CELTIC TIMES 3.5% 28.45 5
9 7 GENERAL REDWOOD 3.0% 33.43 1
10 8 GOLDEN DARCI 3.0% 33.86 11
11 2 OSI HONOUR 1.7% 58.29 12
12 11 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 0.9% 108.68 6
BEAUTY VIVAVIVACIOUS WINVERMILION TEMPESTFORTUNE STARAESTHETICISMPRECISION HOPEYIU CHEUNG VICTORYCELTIC TIMESGENERAL REDWOOD — wonGOLDEN DARCIOSI HONOURSUPER GOLDENDRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 109

PLACE

7 29.5

10 23.5

12 14

QUINELLA

7,12 159

QUINELLA PLACE

7,10 130.5

7,12 64

10,12 43

FORECAST

7,12 393

TIERCE

7,12,10 3,229

TRIO

7,10,12 466

FIRST 4

5,7,10,12 1,140

QUARTET

7,12,10,5 25,914

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/7 1,227.5

1/12 34