Happy Valley · 2026-04-08 · 14:15
ON LAN HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("ON LAN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-08 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. PERFECT GENERAL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with THRIVING BROTHERS second and GUMMY GUMMY third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERFECT GENERAL H-/P-/TT 1:09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.5 | — |
| 2 | 12 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 7.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | GUMMY GUMMY CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 9.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | EXCEED THE LIMIT TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 5 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | POWER KOEPP J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 3 | 8.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ACE CHAMPION TT R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 12 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO CP-/B1 H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEAHA TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 80.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | WONDER KIT B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 9 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SPICY GOLD B-/XB- A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 1 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | KING MILES B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 6 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 0 | MAGNEMITE CP-/SR1/XB1/TT1 · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MATZDEN CP/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PERFECT GENERAL | 34.5% | 2.90 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 10.5% | 9.51 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 10.2% | 9.77 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | CELESTIAL HERO | 7.7% | 12.91 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | POWER KOEPP | 6.3% | 15.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | GUMMY GUMMY | 5.9% | 17.03 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SPICY GOLD | 5.3% | 18.70 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | KING MILES | 5.3% | 18.73 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | ACE CHAMPION | 4.9% | 20.52 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCEED THE LIMIT | 4.1% | 24.38 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | WONDER KIT | 3.2% | 31.57 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | CHEAHA | 2.0% | 49.93 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 25.5
PLACE
4 14
6 26.5
12 23
QUINELLA
4,12 106
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 43.5
4,12 43.5
6,12 80.5
FORECAST
4,12 165
TIERCE
4,12,6 871
TRIO
4,6,12 248
FIRST 4
4,6,10,12 465
QUARTET
4,12,6,10 6,282
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/4 115.5
1/12 77