沙田 · 2026-04-12 · 09:45
PILKEM HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-04-12沙田第11場「PILKEM HANDICAP」，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Atzeni策騎、M Newnham訓練的CRIMSON FLASH勝出。RISING FORCE獲得亞軍；YOUNG CHAMPION獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門RISING FORCE跑獲第2名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CRIMSON FLASH B 1:08.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 3 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | RISING FORCE R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 2.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | GALACTIC VOYAGE XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 5 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SKY TRUST TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | COLOURFUL KING TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 12 | 9.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 4 | 137.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | MAGIC CONTROL B-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 10 | 67.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 69.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 11 | 100.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | PAKISTAN LEGACY V/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 7.5 | 9 |
| 12 | 4 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 2 | 59.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | SON PAK FU B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PATCH OF STARS TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RISING FORCE | 21.1% | 4.74 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SKY TRUST | 16.0% | 6.25 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 14.1% | 7.07 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | GALACTIC VOYAGE | 11.5% | 8.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | CRIMSON FLASH | 9.8% | 10.15 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | COLOURFUL KING | 9.6% | 10.39 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | PAKISTAN LEGACY | 6.9% | 14.55 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 3.4% | 29.17 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | MAGIC CONTROL | 2.2% | 46.26 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | GORGEOUS WIN | 2.1% | 46.56 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | CHATEAUNEUF | 1.9% | 51.44 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 1.2% | 80.29 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 137.5
PLACE
5 33.5
7 18
9 12.5
QUINELLA
5,9 155.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 101.5
5,9 54.5
7,9 30.5
FORECAST
5,9 416
TIERCE
5,9,7 1,858
TRIO
5,7,9 243
FIRST 4
5,7,9,11 184
QUARTET
5,9,7,11 6,577
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
11/5 2,041
11/9 159
2ND TREBLE
7/11/5 41,360
7/11/9 2,253
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,11/5,7,9 262,529
SIX UP
2,10/3,13/1,7/1,7/6,11/5,9 71,949
5 [P F Yiu] —
6 [B Avdulla], 8 [H Y Yuen] —