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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 09:45

PILKEM HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 2 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 11 ("PILKEM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CRIMSON FLASH, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won, with RISING FORCE second and YOUNG CHAMPION third. The 2.4 favourite RISING FORCE finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:08.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 CRIMSON FLASH B 1:08.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham 3 13.0
2 9 RISING FORCE R Kingscote · P F Yiu 8 2.4 NOSE
3 7 YOUNG CHAMPION B H Bowman · J Size 7 6.0 1/2
4 11 GALACTIC VOYAGE XB A Badel · K W Lui 5 5.2 1-1/4
5 2 SKY TRUST TT J Moreira · C Fownes 9 14.0 1-1/4
6 1 COLOURFUL KING TT Z Purton · D Eustace 12 9.9 1-1/2
7 8 VICTOR THE WINNER TT M L Yeung · P C Ng 4 137.0 1-1/2
8 6 MAGIC CONTROL B-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 10 67.0 2-1/4
9 10 CHATEAUNEUF B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 69.0 3-3/4
10 3 GORGEOUS WIN TT J Orman · C S Shum 11 100.0 4-3/4
11 12 PAKISTAN LEGACY V/TT K Teetan · W Y So 1 7.5 9
12 4 SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 2 59.0 9
0 SON PAK FU B/TT · A S Cruz
0 PATCH OF STARS TT · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CRIMSON FLASH2. RISING FORCE+0.05L3. YOUNG CHAMPION+0.5L4. GALACTIC VOYAGE+1.25L5. SKY TRUST+1.25L6. COLOURFUL KING+1.5L7. VICTOR THE WINNER+1.5L8. MAGIC CONTROL+2.25L9. CHATEAUNEUF+3.75L10. GORGEOUS WIN+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RISING FORCE (21.1%) finished 2nd — the winner CRIMSON FLASH was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 RISING FORCE 21.1% 4.74 2
2 2 SKY TRUST 16.0% 6.25 5
3 7 YOUNG CHAMPION 14.1% 7.07 3
4 11 GALACTIC VOYAGE 11.5% 8.70 4
5 5 CRIMSON FLASH 9.8% 10.15 1
6 1 COLOURFUL KING 9.6% 10.39 6
7 12 PAKISTAN LEGACY 6.9% 14.55 11
8 4 SELF IMPROVEMENT 3.4% 29.17 12
9 6 MAGIC CONTROL 2.2% 46.26 8
10 3 GORGEOUS WIN 2.1% 46.56 10
11 10 CHATEAUNEUF 1.9% 51.44 9
12 8 VICTOR THE WINNER 1.2% 80.29 7
RISING FORCESKY TRUSTYOUNG CHAMPIONGALACTIC VOYAGECRIMSON FLASH — wonCOLOURFUL KINGPAKISTAN LEGACYSELF IMPROVEMENTMAGIC CONTROLGORGEOUS WINCHATEAUNEUFVICTOR THE WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 137.5

PLACE

5 33.5

7 18

9 12.5

QUINELLA

5,9 155.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 101.5

5,9 54.5

7,9 30.5

FORECAST

5,9 416

TIERCE

5,9,7 1,858

TRIO

5,7,9 243

FIRST 4

5,7,9,11 184

QUARTET

5,9,7,11 6,577

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

11/5 2,041

11/9 159

2ND TREBLE

7/11/5 41,360

7/11/9 2,253

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,11/5,7,9 262,529

SIX UP

2,10/3,13/1,7/1,7/6,11/5,9 71,949

5 [P F Yiu]

6 [B Avdulla], 8 [H Y Yuen]