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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 08:35

JORDAN HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 ("JORDAN HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FORTUNE LINK, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by P F Yiu, won, with ENDEARED second and ALL'S WELL third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite GHORGAN finished 10th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:22.35
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 FORTUNE LINK Wire to wire B- 1:22.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 12 17.0
2 1 ENDEARED Closed strongly P-/XB Z Purton · J Size 8 6.6 NOSE
3 5 ALL'S WELL Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C H Yip 4 6.5 N
4 2 HEAVING Closed strongly B-/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 9 17.0 2
5 6 COMPLETE UNKNOWN Closed strongly H-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 1 77.0 2-1/4
6 11 POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 11.0 2-1/4
7 9 PRAY FOR JUSTICE TT R Kingscote · D Eustace 2 10.0 2-1/4
8 12 REFUSETOBEENGLISH Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 10 17.0 3-3/4
9 10 FLASH CURRENT Closed strongly TT H Bentley · K H Ting 11 27.0 3-3/4
10 8 GHORGAN H/TT C L Chau · K L Man 6 3.3 5-1/4
11 4 OUTGATE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 19.0 7-1/4
12 3 CHARMING LEGEND TT- J Moreira · C Fownes 5 6.5 7-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FORTUNE LINK2. ENDEARED+0.05L3. ALL'S WELL+0.05L4. HEAVING+2L5. COMPLETE UNKNOWN+2.25L6. POSITIVE SMILE+2.25L7. PRAY FOR JUSTICE+2.25L8. REFUSETOBEENGLISH+3.75L9. FLASH CURRENT+3.75L10. GHORGAN+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GHORGAN (17.9%) finished 10th — the winner FORTUNE LINK was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 GHORGAN 17.9% 5.58 10
2 3 CHARMING LEGEND 15.3% 6.54 12
3 1 ENDEARED 13.4% 7.44 2
4 2 HEAVING 9.6% 10.37 4
5 12 REFUSETOBEENGLISH 9.5% 10.48 8
6 10 FLASH CURRENT 7.0% 14.20 9
7 5 ALL'S WELL 5.5% 18.12 3
8 4 OUTGATE 5.2% 19.15 11
9 9 PRAY FOR JUSTICE 5.1% 19.47 7
10 11 POSITIVE SMILE 4.9% 20.22 6
11 7 FORTUNE LINK 4.6% 21.67 1
12 6 COMPLETE UNKNOWN 1.7% 59.63 5
GHORGANCHARMING LEGENDENDEAREDHEAVINGREFUSETOBEENGLISHFLASH CURRENTALL'S WELLOUTGATEPRAY FOR JUSTICEPOSITIVE SMILEFORTUNE LINK — wonCOMPLETE UNKNOWN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 176.5

PLACE

1 22.5

5 22.5

7 57

QUINELLA

1,7 749

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 89

1,7 231

5,7 219

FORECAST

7,1 1,253

TIERCE

7,1,5 8,651

TRIO

1,5,7 1,380

FIRST 4

1,2,5,7 4,616

QUARTET

7,1,5,2 94,585

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,12/1,5,7 123,634

8TH DOUBLE

7/1 49.5

7/7 940