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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 07:00

HART HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 ("HART HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ELITE GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won, with LEADING DRAGON second and BABY SAKURA third. The 1.7 favourite BABY SAKURA finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:09.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 ELITE GOLF H1 1:09.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 5 6.8
2 10 LEADING DRAGON TT1 H Y Yuen · P C Ng 1 7.7 1/2
3 1 BABY SAKURA TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 1.7 3/4
4 9 TOP THRONE CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 11 21.0 2
5 5 FLYING SNIPER Z Purton · D J Hall 6 13.0 3
6 7 LUCKY BID TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards 4 13.0 3
7 8 SUPER RUBICK KID H- J Orman · Y S Tsui 2 98.0 5-1/4
8 11 KINGDOM OF RICHES H-/TT M L Yeung · C S Shum 9 41.0 5-3/4
9 3 ISLAND BUDDY K Teetan · B Crawford 12 14.0 7-1/4
10 12 AQUAMAN CP/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 10 62.0 7-3/4
11 6 HEROIC VANGUARD TT1 A Badel · C H Yip 7 50.0 7-3/4
12 4 LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 8 46.0 9-1/4
0 PAPAYA BROSE TT J Moreira · C Fownes
0 DIAMOND SPARKLE · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ELITE GOLF2. LEADING DRAGON+0.5L3. BABY SAKURA+0.75L4. TOP THRONE+2L5. FLYING SNIPER+3L6. LUCKY BID+3L7. SUPER RUBICK KID+5.25L8. KINGDOM OF RICHES+5.75L9. ISLAND BUDDY+7.25L10. AQUAMAN+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BABY SAKURA (29.9%) finished 3rd — the winner ELITE GOLF was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BABY SAKURA 29.9% 3.35 3
2 2 ELITE GOLF 20.7% 4.83 1
3 10 LEADING DRAGON 16.6% 6.01 2
4 5 FLYING SNIPER 9.5% 10.51 5
5 3 ISLAND BUDDY 4.6% 21.94 9
6 7 LUCKY BID 3.5% 28.37 6
7 9 TOP THRONE 3.4% 29.06 4
8 4 LO PAN SPIRIT 3.2% 31.71 12
9 12 AQUAMAN 2.9% 34.70 10
10 6 HEROIC VANGUARD 2.8% 35.90 11
11 11 KINGDOM OF RICHES 1.9% 53.98 8
12 8 SUPER RUBICK KID 1.1% 93.25 7
BABY SAKURAELITE GOLF — wonLEADING DRAGONFLYING SNIPERISLAND BUDDYLUCKY BIDTOP THRONELO PAN SPIRITAQUAMANHEROIC VANGUARDKINGDOM OF RICHESSUPER RUBICK KID

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 68.5

PLACE

1 10.1

2 16.5

10 23.5

QUINELLA

2,10 228

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 22.5

1,10 27

2,10 59

FORECAST

2,10 401

TIERCE

2,10,1 968

TRIO

1,2,10 90

FIRST 4

1,2,9,10 367

QUARTET

2,10,1,9 11,307

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/2 325

5/10 92