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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 14:00

COX'S HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:22.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 HAPPY BOSS Closed strongly CP/TT 1:22.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace 13 7.0 —
2 3 TOP TIME Closed strongly J Orman · W Y So 2 12.0 N
3 5 GALLANT DESIGN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 9 4.4 1-1/4
4 1 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS XB L Hewitson · B Crawford 10 14.0 1-3/4
5 7 INVICTUS DRAGON Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 8 2.1 3-1/2
6 6 MASSIVE GLORY Closed strongly CP1/TT1 C L Chau · F C Lor 12 76.0 3-3/4
7 14 THE CONCENTRATION B A Atzeni · P F Yiu 3 12.0 4
8 8 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY Closed strongly CP-/H1/PC1 K Teetan · P C Ng 5 125.0 4
9 10 GOLDEN WIN K C Leung · K L Man 1 145.0 4
10 9 TYCOON EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 11 11.0 5-1/2
11 13 AMAZING FUN TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 6 52.0 6
12 4 LIGHTNESS OF BEING Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 181.0 6-1/4
13 11 SWEET BRIAR V-/B2/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 7 143.0 6-3/4
14 12 SUPREME FEELING B H Bentley · D A Hayes 14 241.0 7-1/2
— 0 POLAR PATCH TT · M Newnham — — —
— 0 Z PRINCE · D J Hall — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("COX'S HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY BOSS, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won, with TOP TIME second and GALLANT DESIGN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite INVICTUS DRAGON finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY BOSS—2. TOP TIME+0.05L3. GALLANT DESIGN+1.25L4. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+1.75L5. INVICTUS DRAGON+3.5L6. MASSIVE GLORY+3.75L7. THE CONCENTRATION+4L8. CHEERFUL WONGCHOY+4L9. GOLDEN WIN+4L10. TYCOON EXPRESS+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick INVICTUS DRAGON (36.7%) finished 5th — the winner HAPPY BOSS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 INVICTUS DRAGON 36.7% 2.73 5
2 9 TYCOON EXPRESS 12.1% 8.28 10
3 14 THE CONCENTRATION 10.9% 9.19 7
4 2 HAPPY BOSS 7.9% 12.60 1
5 5 GALLANT DESIGN 7.5% 13.30 3
6 3 TOP TIME 7.1% 14.09 2
7 1 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 5.1% 19.73 4
8 6 MASSIVE GLORY 3.2% 31.32 6
9 8 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY 2.6% 38.81 8
10 13 AMAZING FUN 1.7% 57.16 11
11 11 SWEET BRIAR 1.6% 64.09 13
12 4 LIGHTNESS OF BEING 1.5% 65.01 12
13 12 SUPREME FEELING 1.1% 87.03 14
14 10 GOLDEN WIN 1.0% 100.44 9
INVICTUS DRAGONTYCOON EXPRESSTHE CONCENTRATIONHAPPY BOSS — wonGALLANT DESIGNTOP TIMEEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSMASSIVE GLORYCHEERFUL WONGCHOYAMAZING FUNSWEET BRIARLIGHTNESS OF BEINGSUPREME FEELINGGOLDEN WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 70

PLACE

2 19.5

3 29

5 16.5

QUINELLA

2,3 353.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 99

2,5 41.5

3,5 72

FORECAST

2,3 641

TIERCE

2,3,5 3,001

TRIO

2,3,5 500

FIRST 4

1,2,3,5 832

QUARTET

2,3,5,1 19,305

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

5/2 500

5/3 134.5