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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 06:00

COX'S HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 4 ("COX'S HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY BOSS, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won, with TOP TIME second and GALLANT DESIGN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite INVICTUS DRAGON finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:22.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 HAPPY BOSS Closed strongly CP/TT 1:22.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace 13 7.0
2 3 TOP TIME Closed strongly J Orman · W Y So 2 12.0 N
3 5 GALLANT DESIGN Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 9 4.4 1-1/4
4 1 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS XB L Hewitson · B Crawford 10 14.0 1-3/4
5 7 INVICTUS DRAGON Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui 8 2.1 3-1/2
6 6 MASSIVE GLORY Closed strongly CP1/TT1 C L Chau · F C Lor 12 76.0 3-3/4
7 14 THE CONCENTRATION B A Atzeni · P F Yiu 3 12.0 4
8 8 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY Closed strongly CP-/H1/PC1 K Teetan · P C Ng 5 125.0 4
9 10 GOLDEN WIN K C Leung · K L Man 1 145.0 4
10 9 TYCOON EXPRESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 11 11.0 5-1/2
11 13 AMAZING FUN TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 6 52.0 6
12 4 LIGHTNESS OF BEING Led early CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 181.0 6-1/4
13 11 SWEET BRIAR V-/B2/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 7 143.0 6-3/4
14 12 SUPREME FEELING B H Bentley · D A Hayes 14 241.0 7-1/2
0 POLAR PATCH TT · M Newnham
0 Z PRINCE · D J Hall

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY BOSS2. TOP TIME+0.05L3. GALLANT DESIGN+1.25L4. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+1.75L5. INVICTUS DRAGON+3.5L6. MASSIVE GLORY+3.75L7. THE CONCENTRATION+4L8. CHEERFUL WONGCHOY+4L9. GOLDEN WIN+4L10. TYCOON EXPRESS+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick INVICTUS DRAGON (36.7%) finished 5th — the winner HAPPY BOSS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 INVICTUS DRAGON 36.7% 2.73 5
2 9 TYCOON EXPRESS 12.1% 8.28 10
3 14 THE CONCENTRATION 10.9% 9.19 7
4 2 HAPPY BOSS 7.9% 12.60 1
5 5 GALLANT DESIGN 7.5% 13.30 3
6 3 TOP TIME 7.1% 14.09 2
7 1 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 5.1% 19.73 4
8 6 MASSIVE GLORY 3.2% 31.32 6
9 8 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY 2.6% 38.81 8
10 13 AMAZING FUN 1.7% 57.16 11
11 11 SWEET BRIAR 1.6% 64.09 13
12 4 LIGHTNESS OF BEING 1.5% 65.01 12
13 12 SUPREME FEELING 1.1% 87.03 14
14 10 GOLDEN WIN 1.0% 100.44 9
INVICTUS DRAGONTYCOON EXPRESSTHE CONCENTRATIONHAPPY BOSS — wonGALLANT DESIGNTOP TIMEEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSMASSIVE GLORYCHEERFUL WONGCHOYAMAZING FUNSWEET BRIARLIGHTNESS OF BEINGSUPREME FEELINGGOLDEN WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 70

PLACE

2 19.5

3 29

5 16.5

QUINELLA

2,3 353.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 99

2,5 41.5

3,5 72

FORECAST

2,3 641

TIERCE

2,3,5 3,001

TRIO

2,3,5 500

FIRST 4

1,2,3,5 832

QUARTET

2,3,5,1 19,305

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

5/2 500

5/3 134.5