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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 07:35

THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 7 ("THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALABAMA SONG, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won, with FORZA TORO second and RUN RUN SMART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite SHOTGUN finished 4th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 ALABAMA SONG Closed strongly H 1:21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size 9 14.0
2 3 FORZA TORO Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 6.3 HD
3 2 RUN RUN SMART Led early TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor 1 8.2 N
4 9 SHOTGUN B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 5 2.2 1-3/4
5 10 SUPER DRAGON Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 14 11.0 2-1/4
6 1 FLYING FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 2 131.0 3-1/2
7 11 JUST FOLLOW ME CP/XB/TT K Teetan · B Crawford 3 4.8 4
8 4 MASTER PHOENIX Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D Eustace 13 41.0 4-1/2
9 14 WAVE GARDEN CP/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 114.0 4-3/4
10 5 STAR SATYR Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 26.0 7
11 7 PRESIDENT PEGASUS TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum 4 74.0 7-1/4
12 8 LUCKY GIBS C Y Ho · K L Man 12 283.0 9-1/2
13 6 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 7 91.0 11-3/4
14 12 LUCKY SECRET TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 11 239.0 22
0 CHILL PARTNERS CP · K W Lui
0 SUPER MASTERMIND B/TT · J Richards

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALABAMA SONG2. FORZA TORO+0.2L3. RUN RUN SMART+0.05L4. SHOTGUN+1.75L5. SUPER DRAGON+2.25L6. FLYING FORTUNE+3.5L7. JUST FOLLOW ME+4L8. MASTER PHOENIX+4.5L9. WAVE GARDEN+4.75L10. STAR SATYR+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SHOTGUN (37.8%) finished 4th — the winner ALABAMA SONG was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 SHOTGUN 37.8% 2.65 4
2 11 JUST FOLLOW ME 16.8% 5.94 7
3 3 FORZA TORO 16.6% 6.02 2
4 10 SUPER DRAGON 7.5% 13.29 5
5 2 RUN RUN SMART 7.3% 13.72 3
6 13 ALABAMA SONG 2.7% 37.05 1
7 5 STAR SATYR 2.5% 39.23 10
8 4 MASTER PHOENIX 2.5% 40.14 8
9 7 PRESIDENT PEGASUS 1.7% 59.84 11
10 6 FUN TOGETHER 1.3% 75.52 13
11 14 WAVE GARDEN 1.1% 89.19 9
12 1 FLYING FORTUNE 0.8% 126.58 6
13 8 LUCKY GIBS 0.7% 146.20 12
14 12 LUCKY SECRET 0.6% 159.91 14
SHOTGUNJUST FOLLOW MEFORZA TOROSUPER DRAGONRUN RUN SMARTALABAMA SONG — wonSTAR SATYRMASTER PHOENIXPRESIDENT PEGASUSFUN TOGETHERWAVE GARDENFLYING FORTUNELUCKY GIBSLUCKY SECRET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 140

PLACE

2 23.5

3 19.5

13 35.5

QUINELLA

3,13 362

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 88.5

2,13 164

3,13 107

FORECAST

13,3 889

TIERCE

13,3,2 6,173

TRIO

2,3,13 982

FIRST 4

2,3,9,13 435

QUARTET

13,3,2,9 21,235

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,10/2,3,13 11,222

6TH DOUBLE

2/3 51.5

2/13 967

TRIPLE TRIO

1,5,10/1,2,10/2,3,13 5,246,606

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,5,10/1,2,10/Any Combination 4,598