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Sha Tin · 2026-04-12 · 15:35

THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 ALABAMA SONG Closed strongly H 1:21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size 9 14.0 —
2 3 FORZA TORO Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 10 6.3 HD
3 2 RUN RUN SMART Led early TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor 1 8.2 N
4 9 SHOTGUN B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall 5 2.2 1-3/4
5 10 SUPER DRAGON Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 14 11.0 2-1/4
6 1 FLYING FORTUNE Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 2 131.0 3-1/2
7 11 JUST FOLLOW ME CP/XB/TT K Teetan · B Crawford 3 4.8 4
8 4 MASTER PHOENIX Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D Eustace 13 41.0 4-1/2
9 14 WAVE GARDEN CP/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 6 114.0 4-3/4
10 5 STAR SATYR Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 8 26.0 7
11 7 PRESIDENT PEGASUS TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum 4 74.0 7-1/4
12 8 LUCKY GIBS C Y Ho · K L Man 12 283.0 9-1/2
13 6 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · C W Chang 7 91.0 11-3/4
14 12 LUCKY SECRET TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 11 239.0 22
— 0 CHILL PARTNERS CP · K W Lui — — —
— 0 SUPER MASTERMIND B/TT · J Richards — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 ("THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-12 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ALABAMA SONG, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won, with FORZA TORO second and RUN RUN SMART third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite SHOTGUN finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ALABAMA SONG—2. FORZA TORO+0.2L3. RUN RUN SMART+0.05L4. SHOTGUN+1.75L5. SUPER DRAGON+2.25L6. FLYING FORTUNE+3.5L7. JUST FOLLOW ME+4L8. MASTER PHOENIX+4.5L9. WAVE GARDEN+4.75L10. STAR SATYR+7L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SHOTGUN (37.8%) finished 4th — the winner ALABAMA SONG was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 SHOTGUN 37.8% 2.65 4
2 11 JUST FOLLOW ME 16.8% 5.94 7
3 3 FORZA TORO 16.6% 6.02 2
4 10 SUPER DRAGON 7.5% 13.29 5
5 2 RUN RUN SMART 7.3% 13.72 3
6 13 ALABAMA SONG 2.7% 37.05 1
7 5 STAR SATYR 2.5% 39.23 10
8 4 MASTER PHOENIX 2.5% 40.14 8
9 7 PRESIDENT PEGASUS 1.7% 59.84 11
10 6 FUN TOGETHER 1.3% 75.52 13
11 14 WAVE GARDEN 1.1% 89.19 9
12 1 FLYING FORTUNE 0.8% 126.58 6
13 8 LUCKY GIBS 0.7% 146.20 12
14 12 LUCKY SECRET 0.6% 159.91 14
SHOTGUNJUST FOLLOW MEFORZA TOROSUPER DRAGONRUN RUN SMARTALABAMA SONG — wonSTAR SATYRMASTER PHOENIXPRESIDENT PEGASUSFUN TOGETHERWAVE GARDENFLYING FORTUNELUCKY GIBSLUCKY SECRET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 140

PLACE

2 23.5

3 19.5

13 35.5

QUINELLA

3,13 362

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 88.5

2,13 164

3,13 107

FORECAST

13,3 889

TIERCE

13,3,2 6,173

TRIO

2,3,13 982

FIRST 4

2,3,9,13 435

QUARTET

13,3,2,9 21,235

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,10/2,3,13 11,222

6TH DOUBLE

2/3 51.5

2/13 967

TRIPLE TRIO

1,5,10/1,2,10/2,3,13 5,246,606

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,5,10/1,2,10/Any Combination 4,598