沙田 · 2026-04-12 · 07:35
THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)
第 7場
2026-04-12沙田第7場「THE KOWLOON CRICKET CLUB CENTENARY CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的ALABAMA SONG勝出。FORZA TORO獲得亞軍；RUN RUN SMART獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門SHOTGUN跑獲第4名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | ALABAMA SONG 後段發力 H 1:21.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 3 | FORZA TORO 後段發力 TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 6.3 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | RUN RUN SMART 早段領放 TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor | H Y Yuen | F C Lor | 1 | 8.2 | N |
| 4 | 9 | SHOTGUN B/XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER DRAGON 後段發力 A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 14 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FLYING FORTUNE 後段發力 H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 131.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | JUST FOLLOW ME CP/XB/TT K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | MASTER PHOENIX 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 13 | 41.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | WAVE GARDEN CP/XB/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 114.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | STAR SATYR 後段發力 TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | PRESIDENT PEGASUS TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 74.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 12 | 283.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 7 | 91.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | LUCKY SECRET TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 11 | 239.0 | 22 |
| — | 0 | CHILL PARTNERS CP · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPER MASTERMIND B/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SHOTGUN | 37.8% | 2.65 | 4 |
| 2 | 11 | JUST FOLLOW ME | 16.8% | 5.94 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | FORZA TORO | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER DRAGON | 7.5% | 13.29 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | RUN RUN SMART | 7.3% | 13.72 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | ALABAMA SONG | 2.7% | 37.05 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR SATYR | 2.5% | 39.23 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | MASTER PHOENIX | 2.5% | 40.14 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | PRESIDENT PEGASUS | 1.7% | 59.84 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | FUN TOGETHER | 1.3% | 75.52 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | WAVE GARDEN | 1.1% | 89.19 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | FLYING FORTUNE | 0.8% | 126.58 | 6 |
| 13 | 8 | LUCKY GIBS | 0.7% | 146.20 | 12 |
| 14 | 12 | LUCKY SECRET | 0.6% | 159.91 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 140
PLACE
2 23.5
3 19.5
13 35.5
QUINELLA
3,13 362
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 88.5
2,13 164
3,13 107
FORECAST
13,3 889
TIERCE
13,3,2 6,173
TRIO
2,3,13 982
FIRST 4
2,3,9,13 435
QUARTET
13,3,2,9 21,235
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/2,3,13 11,222
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 51.5
2/13 967
TRIPLE TRIO
1,5,10/1,2,10/2,3,13 5,246,606
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,5,10/1,2,10/Any Combination 4,598