跑馬地 · 2026-04-22 · 11:45
GERANIUM HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-04-22跑馬地第3場「GERANIUM HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由E Brown策騎、W K Mo訓練的SHOOTING TO TOP勝出。GLORIOUS JOURNEY獲得亞軍；SURE JOYFUL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。5.9倍大熱門FORTUNE STAR跑獲第5名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHOOTING TO TOP 後段發力 B/TT 1:40.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E Brown · W K Mo | E Brown | W K Mo | 7 | 6.2 | — |
| 2 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL 早段領放 TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 23.0 | SH |
| 4 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | FORTUNE STAR 後段發力 B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 6 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | STAR ELEGANCE XB-/B K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER 後段發力 B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 10 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | VERMILION TEMPEST 後段發力 PC-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | TO INFINITY B2 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 6.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | GAZELEY XB1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 51.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN B-/CP1/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 4 | 6.5 | 22-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY VIVA CP1/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | JOLTIN CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FORTUNE STAR | 17.7% | 5.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | VERMILION TEMPEST | 17.0% | 5.90 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | STAR ELEGANCE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 11.0% | 9.10 | 12 |
| 5 | 9 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 8.5% | 11.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 7.3% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SHOOTING TO TOP | 6.7% | 14.92 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.6% | 17.96 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL | 5.3% | 18.76 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 4.2% | 23.96 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 2.6% | 37.74 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | GAZELEY | 1.9% | 51.76 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 62.5
PLACE
1 26
5 23
7 60.5
QUINELLA
1,5 268
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 89
1,7 359.5
5,7 238.5
FORECAST
5,1 618
TIERCE
5,1,7 10,558
TRIO
1,5,7 2,450
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 5,716
QUARTET
5,1,7,11 112,641
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,11>2,6/1,5,7 92,449
2ND DOUBLE
7/1 92.5
7/5 626.5