Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 19:45
GERANIUM HANDICAP
Race 3
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SHOOTING TO TOP Closed strongly B/TT 1:40.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E Brown · W K Mo | E Brown | W K Mo | 7 | 6.2 | — |
| 2 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 5 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL Led early TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 23.0 | SH |
| 4 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 6 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | STAR ELEGANCE XB-/B K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly B/TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 10 | 41.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | VERMILION TEMPEST Closed strongly PC-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | TO INFINITY B2 L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 6.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | GAZELEY XB1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 8 | 51.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN B-/CP1/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 4 | 6.5 | 22-1/2 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY VIVA CP1/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | JOLTIN CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 ("GERANIUM HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SHOOTING TO TOP, ridden by E Brown and trained by W K Mo, won, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and SURE JOYFUL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.9 favourite FORTUNE STAR finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FORTUNE STAR | 17.7% | 5.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | VERMILION TEMPEST | 17.0% | 5.90 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | STAR ELEGANCE | 12.2% | 8.18 | 6 |
| 4 | 12 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 11.0% | 9.10 | 12 |
| 5 | 9 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 8.5% | 11.79 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 7.3% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | SHOOTING TO TOP | 6.7% | 14.92 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 5.6% | 17.96 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL | 5.3% | 18.76 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | TO INFINITY | 4.2% | 23.96 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 2.6% | 37.74 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | GAZELEY | 1.9% | 51.76 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 62.5
PLACE
1 26
5 23
7 60.5
QUINELLA
1,5 268
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 89
1,7 359.5
5,7 238.5
FORECAST
5,1 618
TIERCE
5,1,7 10,558
TRIO
1,5,7 2,450
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 5,716
QUARTET
5,1,7,11 112,641
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,11>2,6/1,5,7 92,449
2ND DOUBLE
7/1 92.5
7/5 626.5