Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 13:15
HEATHER HANDICAP
Race 6
Race 6 ("HEATHER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING PROFIT, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won, with GRAND NOVA second and HARMONY FIRE third. The 2.7 favourite BEAUTY SHOW finished 4th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | KING PROFIT TT 0:56.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 12 | 6.8 | — |
| 2 | 6 | GRAND NOVA E H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | HARMONY FIRE B/TT E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 11 | 40.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY SHOW Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | JUMBO BLESSING TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | HAPPY UNITED P/TT A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | DAY DAY VICTORY J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 6 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY V/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HYANNIS STAR TT R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 7 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | TOPSPIN KING XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 158.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | E HO HO TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 10 | 126.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 9 | 83.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ZEPHYR B1/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BUSTLING CITY H-/SR- · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY SHOW | 31.4% | 3.18 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | GRAND NOVA | 14.9% | 6.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | JUMBO BLESSING | 12.3% | 8.11 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | KING PROFIT | 11.5% | 8.70 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 10.4% | 9.63 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | DAY DAY VICTORY | 4.8% | 20.78 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY UNITED | 4.6% | 21.78 | 6 |
| 8 | 7 | HARMONY FIRE | 3.2% | 31.06 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 2.3% | 43.19 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | E HO HO | 1.7% | 58.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | HYANNIS STAR | 1.5% | 66.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | TOPSPIN KING | 1.3% | 78.22 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 68.5
PLACE
3 20.5
6 19.5
7 80.5
QUINELLA
3,6 263
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 77
3,7 330.5
6,7 304
FORECAST
3,6 580
TIERCE
3,6,7 14,277
TRIO
3,6,7 2,558
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 954
QUARTET
3,6,7,4 34,903
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/3 211.5
11/6 37.5