Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 13:50
KALANCHOE HANDICAP
Race 7
Race 7 ("KALANCHOE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CASA OF HONOR, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C W Chang, won, with HORSEPOWER second and SKY CAP third. The 2.6 favourite SKY CAP finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | CASA OF HONOR H-/SR-/XB 0:56.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 22.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | HORSEPOWER XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SKY CAP TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER H J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 10 | 7.9 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | TOGETHER WE VALUE B H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 9 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | BUNTA BABY V/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 11 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE B E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 7 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SPARKLING FELLOW P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 6 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BLUE ILLUSION B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 45.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | CENTRAL BANK H-/XB1 C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | COPPER CORE SR-/TT1 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 1 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DOUBLE MONEY TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 8 | 132.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | HIGH PRAISE XB-/TT1 · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | HEY BROS XB- · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HORSEPOWER | 29.8% | 3.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | SKY CAP | 21.7% | 4.61 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | TOGETHER WE VALUE | 11.8% | 8.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | BUNTA BABY | 9.8% | 10.24 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 7.5% | 13.37 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | COPPER CORE | 4.5% | 22.40 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | BLUE ILLUSION | 3.9% | 25.62 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | CANDLELIGHT DINNER | 3.9% | 25.70 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | RED ELEGANCE | 2.8% | 35.75 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | CENTRAL BANK | 1.9% | 52.97 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | CASA OF HONOR | 1.6% | 64.06 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | DOUBLE MONEY | 0.9% | 108.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 222.5
PLACE
1 17.5
10 13
12 46
QUINELLA
1,12 824
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 31.5
1,12 217.5
10,12 98
FORECAST
12,1 1,344
TIERCE
12,1,10 4,473
TRIO
1,10,12 484
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 902
QUARTET
12,1,10,2 34,233
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/1,10,12 284,527
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 59
3/12 3,065
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,11,12/3,6,7/Any Combination 11,929