Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 12:15
LAVENDER HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("LAVENDER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIGOR EYE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with CAPTAIN LINK second and YOUNG ARROW third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VIGOR EYE CP 1:10.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.3 | — |
| 2 | 2 | CAPTAIN LINK B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 48.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | YOUNG ARROW CP E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 3 | 8.3 | N |
| 4 | 9 | LEADING AGILITY H/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 6 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 12 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | JOLLY COMPANION B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 4 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | FLYING SNIPER H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 11 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | YEUX DE LIFELINE B/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 79.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 9 | 34.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ZHOU GONGJIN B P N Wong · B Crawford | P N Wong | B Crawford | 7 | 126.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY XANDER R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 10 | 159.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND B · M Newnham | — | M Newnham | — | — | — |
| WV | 3 | GEORGIAN SIGMA PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VIGOR EYE | 51.6% | 1.94 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | LEADING AGILITY | 9.9% | 10.14 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 7.8% | 12.85 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING SNIPER | 7.1% | 14.17 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | YEUX DE LIFELINE | 5.4% | 18.43 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | JOLLY COMPANION | 4.5% | 22.25 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | YOUNG ARROW | 3.3% | 30.07 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | SOLAR RIVER | 3.1% | 31.88 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | CAPTAIN LINK | 3.1% | 32.32 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS | 1.7% | 58.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | ZHOU GONGJIN | 1.5% | 66.30 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | LUCKY XANDER | 1.0% | 96.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 23
PLACE
1 21.5
2 115.5
6 13.5
QUINELLA
2,6 861
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 590
1,6 34.5
2,6 247
FORECAST
6,2 836
TIERCE
6,2,1 4,488
TRIO
1,2,6 1,067
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 1,060
QUARTET
6,2,1,9 21,223
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/2 632
5/6 209