Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 22:20
ONCIDIUM HANDICAP
Race 8
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H 1:48.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 10.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | ACE WAR Closed strongly XB Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 11 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | LIVEANDLETLIVE TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MISSION GIANT Closed strongly V2 E C W Wong · B Crawford | E C W Wong | B Crawford | 4 | 205.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CHINA WIN Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | PACKING FIGHTER SR/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | NEZHA B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 29.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HIGHLAND RAHY B/TT P N Wong · K W Lui | P N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 29.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SO YOU WILL Led early TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 6 | 8.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | VIOLET STAR SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MIGHTY STRENGTH Closed strongly B2 K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | EXCELLENCE VALUE CP-/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 139.0 | 24-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FALLON B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 ("ONCIDIUM HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. THE AUSPICIOUS, ridden by A Badel and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with ACE WAR second and LIVEANDLETLIVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ACE WAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ACE WAR | 44.1% | 2.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | CHINA WIN | 15.5% | 6.47 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | SO YOU WILL | 9.8% | 10.18 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 7.9% | 12.73 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | VIOLET STAR | 6.6% | 15.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | PACKING FIGHTER | 4.1% | 24.28 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 3.1% | 32.06 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 2.8% | 35.56 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | NEZHA | 2.3% | 44.35 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 2.2% | 44.76 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 1.0% | 100.66 | 12 |
| 12 | 10 | MISSION GIANT | 0.6% | 162.75 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 109
PLACE
1 16.5
8 32.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
8,11 154.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 70.5
1,11 28.5
8,11 61
FORECAST
8,11 398
TIERCE
8,11,1 1,847
TRIO
1,8,11 200
FIRST 4
1,8,10,11 9,816
QUARTET
8,11,1,10 157,910
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
12/8 4,309.5
12/11 161