Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 11:10
FREESIA HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("FREESIA HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PODIUM, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with SOARING BRONCO second and SMILING EMPEROR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite SOARING BRONCO finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PODIUM Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 9 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly CP/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | VERBIER Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 3.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | NOBLE FANS Closed strongly B/TT R Kingscote · J Size | R Kingscote | J Size | 7 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LUCKY BLESSING Led early CP/TT E C W Wong · W K Mo | E C W Wong | W K Mo | 12 | 67.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SPARKLE AND GOLD TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 5 | 26.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW V K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 20.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | TELECOM POWER B E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 10 | 9.7 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | FRANTANCK TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 6 | DOUBLE BINGO M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VERBIER | 37.8% | 2.64 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | PODIUM | 18.8% | 5.33 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 7.9% | 12.62 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | TELECOM POWER | 7.6% | 13.21 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | SOARING BRONCO | 6.9% | 14.42 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | DOUBLE SHOW | 4.8% | 20.65 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | SMILING EMPEROR | 3.9% | 25.83 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | LUCKY BLESSING | 3.8% | 26.55 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | SPARKLE AND GOLD | 3.3% | 29.89 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | CASA LEGEND | 3.0% | 33.02 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | NOBLE FANS | 2.1% | 47.18 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 50
PLACE
2 12.5
7 15.5
11 44
QUINELLA
2,7 67
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 27
2,11 73.5
7,11 115
FORECAST
7,2 162
TIERCE
7,2,11 1,971
TRIO
2,7,11 367
FIRST 4
2,7,8,11 215
QUARTET
7,2,11,8 5,845
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/2,6 19
4/7 409.5