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Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 19:10

FREESIA HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course B 11 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #6 DOUBLE BINGO — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:39.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 PODIUM Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · D Eustace 1 5.0 —
2 2 SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly J Orman · M Newnham 9 2.7 3/4
3 11 SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly CP/XB M L Yeung · K H Ting 3 17.0 2-1/4
4 8 VERBIER Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 3.7 4-1/4
5 3 NOBLE FANS Closed strongly B/TT R Kingscote · J Size 7 28.0 4-3/4
6 12 CASA LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang 11 23.0 6-1/4
7 1 LUCKY BLESSING Led early CP/TT E C W Wong · W K Mo 12 67.0 6-1/4
8 5 SPARKLE AND GOLD TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 5 26.0 7-1/2
9 9 DOUBLE SHOW V K Teetan · B Crawford 6 20.0 11-1/4
10 4 TELECOM POWER B E Brown · Y S Tsui 10 9.7 12-1/2
11 10 ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz 8 23.0 13
— 0 FRANTANCK TT · P C Ng — — —
— 0 ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT · D A Hayes — — —
— 6 DOUBLE BINGO M F Poon · P F Yiu — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 ("FREESIA HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PODIUM, ridden by C L Chau and trained by D Eustace, won, with SOARING BRONCO second and SMILING EMPEROR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite SOARING BRONCO finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PODIUM—2. SOARING BRONCO+0.75L3. SMILING EMPEROR+2.25L4. VERBIER+4.25L5. NOBLE FANS+4.75L6. CASA LEGEND+6.25L7. LUCKY BLESSING+6.25L8. SPARKLE AND GOLD+7.5L9. DOUBLE SHOW+11.25L10. TELECOM POWER+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VERBIER (37.8%) finished 4th — the winner PODIUM was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 VERBIER 37.8% 2.64 4
2 7 PODIUM 18.8% 5.33 1
3 10 ATOMIC BEAUTY 7.9% 12.62 11
4 4 TELECOM POWER 7.6% 13.21 10
5 2 SOARING BRONCO 6.9% 14.42 2
6 9 DOUBLE SHOW 4.8% 20.65 9
7 11 SMILING EMPEROR 3.9% 25.83 3
8 1 LUCKY BLESSING 3.8% 26.55 7
9 5 SPARKLE AND GOLD 3.3% 29.89 8
10 12 CASA LEGEND 3.0% 33.02 6
11 3 NOBLE FANS 2.1% 47.18 5
VERBIERPODIUM — wonATOMIC BEAUTYTELECOM POWERSOARING BRONCODOUBLE SHOWSMILING EMPERORLUCKY BLESSINGSPARKLE AND GOLDCASA LEGENDNOBLE FANS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 50

PLACE

2 12.5

7 15.5

11 44

QUINELLA

2,7 67

QUINELLA PLACE

2,7 27

2,11 73.5

7,11 115

FORECAST

7,2 162

TIERCE

7,2,11 1,971

TRIO

2,7,11 367

FIRST 4

2,7,8,11 215

QUARTET

7,2,11,8 5,845

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

4/2,6 19

4/7 409.5