Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 14:55
ROSELLE HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("ROSELLE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. JUBILANT WINNER, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won, with AURIO second and SOVEREIGN FUND third. The 3.3 favourite PACKING GLORY finished 4th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | JUBILANT WINNER B/TT 1:09.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 6 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | AURIO SR/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | SOVEREIGN FUND K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 8 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | PACKING GLORY CP-/B2 R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | WINGS OF WAR B B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 3 | 9.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/CP1/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 12 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | LOVE TOGETHER TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 4.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | GREATER BAE TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 9 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE E Brown · J Size | E Brown | J Size | 7 | 25.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | MY DAY MY WAY CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | KANSAS CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 161.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | WITHOUT RHYME CP1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 62.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | MEOWTH CP/SR/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AURIO | 24.4% | 4.10 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | PACKING GLORY | 21.0% | 4.75 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | GREATER BAE | 13.2% | 7.56 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | LOVE TOGETHER | 11.5% | 8.66 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | MY DAY MY WAY | 8.0% | 12.57 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | JUBILANT WINNER | 5.5% | 18.30 | 1 |
| 7 | 10 | WINGS OF WAR | 3.8% | 26.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 3.5% | 28.63 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING FORTRESS | 3.3% | 30.11 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 2.7% | 37.16 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | WITHOUT RHYME | 2.1% | 46.89 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | KANSAS | 0.9% | 107.25 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 141.5
PLACE
1 13.5
7 58
9 31.5
QUINELLA
1,9 233.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 101
1,9 77.5
7,9 350
FORECAST
9,1 650
TIERCE
9,1,7 10,543
TRIO
1,7,9 1,475
FIRST 4
1,7,9,12 775
QUARTET
9,1,7,12 28,886
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
12/8/1 4,898
12/8/9 59,093
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,11/1,7,9 35,405
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 94
8/9 1,292.5
SIX UP
2,6/11,12/3,6/1,12/8,11/1,9 2,603
6/11/3/12/8/9 2,780,691
1 [Z Purton] —
5 [J Richards] —