Happy Valley · 2026-04-22 · 10:40
FLAMINGO FLOWER HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("FLAMINGO FLOWER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-22 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NEBRASKAN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with TEAM HAPPY second and TURF PHOENIX third. The 3.8 favourite TEAM HAPPY finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NEBRASKAN B/TT 1:09.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 1 | 4.7 | — |
| 2 | 8 | TEAM HAPPY B Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 4 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | TURF PHOENIX B-/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 11 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY BOYS H/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | BINGO BABE CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | RICH HORSE B/H/XB K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 56.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | CONCORDE STAR B-/TT E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 5 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | HAPPY ALLIANCE XB/CP1 J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 12 | 95.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | BRILLIANT FIRE P-/XB-/TT2 R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.8 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | GIDDY UP PC-/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 9 | 12.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | SHINYU KOKOROE CP · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT B-/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NEBRASKAN | 24.3% | 4.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | THOUSAND CUPS | 16.5% | 6.05 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | TEAM HAPPY | 11.1% | 9.04 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | BINGO BABE | 9.8% | 10.25 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | GIDDY UP | 9.1% | 11.01 | 12 |
| 6 | 3 | CONCORDE STAR | 8.6% | 11.66 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | HAPPY BOYS | 5.5% | 18.26 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 5.2% | 19.12 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | RICH HORSE | 2.9% | 34.57 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | TURF PHOENIX | 2.6% | 37.84 | 3 |
| 11 | 1 | HAPPY ALLIANCE | 2.2% | 45.05 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 2.2% | 45.40 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 47
PLACE
4 17.5
7 69.5
8 15
QUINELLA
4,8 90
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 163
4,8 39.5
7,8 141.5
FORECAST
4,8 196
TIERCE
4,8,7 2,830
TRIO
4,7,8 679
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 2,075
QUARTET
4,8,7,10 28,250