跑馬地 · 2026-04-22 · 12:45
THE LUSITANO CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)
第 5場
2026-04-22跑馬地第5場「THE LUSITANO CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的THUNDER PRINCE勝出。WINNING CHAMPION獲得亞軍；SPEEDY SMARTIE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THUNDER PRINCE CP- 1:09.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 2.2 | — |
| 2 | 12 | WINNING CHAMPION B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SPEEDY SMARTIE K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | LITTLE MONSTER H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 5.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | KING OBERON B E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 6 | 61.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | WINNING MONEY H/XB/CP1 L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 9 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SILVER SPURS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | LOVING VIBES TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 11 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TURBO JEFFERIES H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | BLAZING BEAM B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 3 | 43.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SUPER LOVE P-/TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 5 | 55.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | FUN ELITE TT P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 38.0 | 20-3/4 |
| — | 0 | WINNING NOW B · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BIGTIME GENERATION SR/XB · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | THUNDER PRINCE | 25.2% | 3.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 14.8% | 6.74 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | WINNING CHAMPION | 14.2% | 7.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | WINNING MONEY | 7.8% | 12.77 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | SILVER SPURS | 7.7% | 13.03 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | LOVING VIBES | 7.2% | 13.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | FUN ELITE | 6.0% | 16.76 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | TURBO JEFFERIES | 5.8% | 17.30 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | LITTLE MONSTER | 4.2% | 23.84 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | SUPER LOVE | 2.7% | 36.79 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | BLAZING BEAM | 2.2% | 45.20 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | KING OBERON | 2.2% | 45.76 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 22
PLACE
1 30.5
11 14
12 14
QUINELLA
11,12 48
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 57.5
1,12 89.5
11,12 23
FORECAST
11,12 80
TIERCE
11,12,1 628
TRIO
1,11,12 190
FIRST 4
1,8,11,12 210
QUARTET
11,12,1,8 3,002
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
5/6/11 560
5/6/12 175
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/1,11,12 26,369
4TH DOUBLE
6/11 63.5
6/12 21