沙田 · 2026-05-06 · 12:45
CARNATION HANDICAP
第 5場
2026-05-06沙田第5場「CARNATION HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA BAY勝出。ONE MAN SHOW獲得亞軍；LIGHT YEARS GLORY獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門TOURBILLON GOLFER跑獲第4名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT 1:10.41 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.5 | — |
| 2 | 3 | ONE MAN SHOW CP/XB/TT2 P N Wong · F C Lor | P N Wong | F C Lor | 11 | 8.3 | N |
| 3 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 5 | 4.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DIAMOND SPARKLE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | FLYING SNIPER M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MEGA AWESOME Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPREME VOYAGER TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 6 | 14.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FOREVER FANCY XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 22.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | REGROWTH WINNER B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 239.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | MAGIC SUPER P1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 177.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | WORD OF KINDNESS TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 12 | 71.0 | 20-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CASA PRIMO XB · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | JOLLY COMPANION B/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TOURBILLON GOLFER | 23.8% | 4.20 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 19.3% | 5.18 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | MEGA AWESOME | 16.1% | 6.20 | 7 |
| 4 | 10 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 11.7% | 8.56 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | DIAMOND SPARKLE | 8.0% | 12.56 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | ONE MAN SHOW | 5.7% | 17.57 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPREME VOYAGER | 4.8% | 20.67 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | FLYING SNIPER | 3.5% | 28.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | WORD OF KINDNESS | 2.8% | 35.14 | 12 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREVER FANCY | 2.7% | 37.51 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | REGROWTH WINNER | 0.8% | 120.36 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | MAGIC SUPER | 0.8% | 120.90 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 35
PLACE
2 16
3 28.5
10 15.5
QUINELLA
3,10 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 55
2,10 32.5
3,10 56
FORECAST
10,3 310
TIERCE
10,3,2 1,241
TRIO
2,3,10 214
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 108
QUARTET
10,3,2,1 3,306
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
7/9/3 234
7/9/10 896
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/2,3,10 8,008
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 55.5
9/10 211