沙田 · 2026-05-06 · 14:50
BEGONIA HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-05-06沙田第9場「BEGONIA HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的BLAZING WIND勝出。VICTORY SKY獲得亞軍；AURORA PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BLAZING WIND B/TT 1:08.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY SKY TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | AURORA PATCH V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 5.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 8 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | TARGET AUDIENCE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 6.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | GIANT SPIRIT B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 33.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CITY GOLD BANNER TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 9 | 71.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | GALACTIC VOYAGE XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 14.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | ROMANTIC SON CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 20.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | HIGH PRAISE XB-/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 54.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | MR ENERGIA B · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORY SKY | 23.4% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | BLAZING WIND | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 16.9% | 5.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | GALACTIC VOYAGE | 7.8% | 12.90 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | MUST GO | 6.8% | 14.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | AURORA PATCH | 6.5% | 15.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | HIGH PRAISE | 3.9% | 25.45 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH | 3.9% | 25.53 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | ROMANTIC SON | 2.9% | 34.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 2.7% | 36.86 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | CITY GOLD BANNER | 2.6% | 38.83 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | GIANT SPIRIT | 0.9% | 105.29 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 32
PLACE
2 16.5
4 18
7 15
QUINELLA
2,7 68.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 42
2,7 31
4,7 37
FORECAST
7,2 133
TIERCE
7,2,4 475
TRIO
2,4,7 110
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 345
QUARTET
7,2,4,9 4,354
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/7,12/2 445
1/7,12/7 2,918
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
8>7,9,12/2,4,7 6,221
8TH DOUBLE
7,12/2 19
7,12/7 153.5
SIX UP
9,10/3,10/2,13/1,5/7,8,12/2,7 9,834
9/10/13/1/7,12/7 1,483,782
2 [K L Man] —
6 [K Teetan] —