Sha Tin · 2026-05-06 · 14:50
BEGONIA HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("BEGONIA HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BLAZING WIND, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with VICTORY SKY second and AURORA PATCH third. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BLAZING WIND B/TT 1:08.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY SKY TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | AURORA PATCH V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 5.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUPER JOY N FUN XB/TT A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 8 | 14.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | TARGET AUDIENCE TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 1 | 6.2 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 9 |
| 7 | 12 | GIANT SPIRIT B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 33.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CITY GOLD BANNER TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 9 | 71.0 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | GALACTIC VOYAGE XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 5 | 14.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | ROMANTIC SON CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 6 | 20.0 | 16-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | HIGH PRAISE XB-/TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 54.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | MR ENERGIA B · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VICTORY SKY | 23.4% | 4.28 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | BLAZING WIND | 21.7% | 4.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 16.9% | 5.93 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | GALACTIC VOYAGE | 7.8% | 12.90 | 10 |
| 5 | 8 | MUST GO | 6.8% | 14.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | AURORA PATCH | 6.5% | 15.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | HIGH PRAISE | 3.9% | 25.45 | 12 |
| 8 | 5 | SYMBOL OF STRENGTH | 3.9% | 25.53 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | ROMANTIC SON | 2.9% | 34.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | SUPER JOY N FUN | 2.7% | 36.86 | 4 |
| 11 | 6 | CITY GOLD BANNER | 2.6% | 38.83 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | GIANT SPIRIT | 0.9% | 105.29 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 32
PLACE
2 16.5
4 18
7 15
QUINELLA
2,7 68.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 42
2,7 31
4,7 37
FORECAST
7,2 133
TIERCE
7,2,4 475
TRIO
2,4,7 110
FIRST 4
2,4,7,9 345
QUARTET
7,2,4,9 4,354
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/7,12/2 445
1/7,12/7 2,918
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
8>7,9,12/2,4,7 6,221
8TH DOUBLE
7,12/2 19
7,12/7 153.5
SIX UP
9,10/3,10/2,13/1,5/7,8,12/2,7 9,834
9/10/13/1/7,12/7 1,483,782
2 [K L Man] —
6 [K Teetan] —