Sha Tin · 2026-05-06 · 12:15
LOTUS HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("LOTUS HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-06 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. YODA'S CHOICE, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by P C Ng, won, with FIREFOOT second and ARIEL third. The winner led throughout. The 3.6 favourite ENTHRALLED finished 5th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE Wire to wire CP/TT 1:49.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · P C Ng | H Y Yuen | P C Ng | 3 | 4.3 | — |
| 2 | 10 | FIREFOOT Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | ARIEL B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S CP M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 91.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 9 | 3.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 6.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | VIVA TASTE Closed strongly TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 8 | 20.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 6 | 16.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS B2/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 2 | 41.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 10 | 15.0 | 20-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | THE LION KING B J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 7 | 22.0 | 39 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FIREFOOT | 20.2% | 4.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | YODA'S CHOICE | 19.5% | 5.13 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | ENTHRALLED | 12.5% | 7.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | PERFECT TEAM | 9.6% | 10.41 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | FOREVER FOLKS | 9.4% | 10.65 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | THE LION KING | 7.9% | 12.69 | 11 |
| 7 | 1 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 7.4% | 13.46 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 4.5% | 22.28 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | VIVA TASTE | 3.9% | 25.90 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | ARIEL | 3.6% | 27.54 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | GLORIOUS ST PAUL'S | 1.5% | 64.72 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 43
PLACE
6 37.5
9 15.5
10 15.5
QUINELLA
9,10 88
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 90.5
6,10 77
9,10 34
FORECAST
9,10 147
TIERCE
9,10,6 1,115
TRIO
6,9,10 342
FIRST 4
6,8,9,10 5,167
QUARTET
9,10,6,8 42,283
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/9 106
7/10 38