Sha Tin · 2026-05-06 · 11:15
MAGNOLIA HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("MAGNOLIA HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-06 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ROBOT KNIGHT, ridden by P N Wong and trained by K L Man, won, with VIVA CHALEUR second and HAPPY ACTION third. The 3.2 favourite VIVA CHALEUR finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT B/TT 1:10.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 5.2 | — |
| 2 | 10 | VIVA CHALEUR B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 6 | 3.2 | N |
| 3 | 2 | HAPPY ACTION B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | MACANESE MASTER V E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 5 | 9.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | VON BAER CP-/TT1 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 9 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 4 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | TOP TO SKY B1/TT H Y Yuen · C H Yip | H Y Yuen | C H Yip | 12 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | BRILLIANT FIRE SR1/TT E C W Wong · D J Whyte | E C W Wong | D J Whyte | 2 | 78.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | NO OTHER CHOICE H/PC/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 5.3 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 17.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | SHINYU KOKOROE CP K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 36.0 | 15 |
| 12 | 12 | BINGO BABE CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 13.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 0 | RUN YES RUN B/TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VIVA CHALEUR | 25.8% | 3.88 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 20.6% | 4.86 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 14.1% | 7.09 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | MACANESE MASTER | 9.8% | 10.19 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | TOP TO SKY | 5.1% | 19.57 | 7 |
| 6 | 6 | SPICY SPANGLE | 4.7% | 21.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | NOBLE DELUXE | 3.8% | 26.00 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | BINGO BABE | 3.8% | 26.44 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 3.7% | 26.78 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | HAPPY ACTION | 3.2% | 31.30 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | SHINYU KOKOROE | 3.2% | 31.74 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | VON BAER | 2.2% | 45.60 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 52.5
PLACE
2 38.5
9 19
10 13.5
QUINELLA
9,10 76
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 113
2,10 92.5
9,10 34
FORECAST
9,10 160
TIERCE
9,10,2 1,545
TRIO
2,9,10 376
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 317
QUARTET
9,10,2,8 6,872
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/9 201.5
9/10 35