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Sha Tin · 2026-05-06 · 14:15

CAMELLIA HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1650m 13 runners

Race 8 ("CAMELLIA HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SKY VINO, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with GLITTERING LEGEND second and ENDEARED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Hammer 8.04 #12 FORTUNATE SON — Code 92 #14 SUPREME AGILITY — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:39.91
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SKY VINO Closed strongly TT 1:39.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 10 3.9
2 8 GLITTERING LEGEND Closed strongly XB/CP1 C L Chau · D Eustace 3 11.0 N
3 9 ENDEARED Closed strongly XB/P2 A Atzeni · J Size 2 6.3 1/2
4 6 LOCH TAY XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 12 10.0 1-1/2
5 11 NEZHA Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 4 8.1 1-3/4
6 13 TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT- M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 19.0 2
7 10 NOISY BOY Closed strongly P2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip 13 52.0 2-3/4
8 5 DRAGON AIR FORCE Led early TT H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 5 9.9 3-3/4
9 1 TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · M Newnham 11 9.7 4
10 3 SWORD POINT CP K C Leung · F C Lor 6 6.3 6-1/4
11 14 SUPREME AGILITY TT A Badel · P C Ng 14 34.0 7-1/4
12 2 STEPS AHEAD B L Hewitson · K W Lui 8 36.0 8-1/4
13 4 WINNING DRAGON TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 101.0 20
0 MASTER TRILLION · F C Lor
0 LUCKY MY WAY B- · D Eustace
12 FORTUNATE SON TT K Teetan · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SKY VINO2. GLITTERING LEGEND+0.05L3. ENDEARED+0.5L4. LOCH TAY+1.5L5. NEZHA+1.75L6. TURIN MASCOT+2L7. NOISY BOY+2.75L8. DRAGON AIR FORCE+3.75L9. TALENTS AMBITION+4L10. SWORD POINT+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SKY VINO (32.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SKY VINO 32.4% 3.09 1
2 9 ENDEARED 14.5% 6.88 3
3 1 TALENTS AMBITION 11.4% 8.74 9
4 11 NEZHA 8.2% 12.23 5
5 8 GLITTERING LEGEND 7.0% 14.22 2
6 5 DRAGON AIR FORCE 6.4% 15.59 8
7 14 SUPREME AGILITY 3.8% 26.59 11
8 6 LOCH TAY 3.6% 27.47 4
9 2 STEPS AHEAD 2.9% 34.03 12
10 10 NOISY BOY 2.8% 35.66 7
11 3 SWORD POINT 2.4% 41.30 10
12 4 WINNING DRAGON 2.4% 41.57 13
13 13 TURIN MASCOT 2.1% 48.71 6
SKY VINO — wonENDEAREDTALENTS AMBITIONNEZHAGLITTERING LEGENDDRAGON AIR FORCESUPREME AGILITYLOCH TAYSTEPS AHEADNOISY BOYSWORD POINTWINNING DRAGONTURIN MASCOT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 39.5

PLACE

7 17

8 39.5

9 20

QUINELLA

7,8 216

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 81

7,9 50

8,9 121

FORECAST

7,8 431

TIERCE

7,8,9 2,650

TRIO

7,8,9 501

FIRST 4

6,7,8,9 1,052

QUARTET

7,8,9,6 21,628

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

1/7,12 455

1/8 369.5