Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-05-06 · 10:45

OSMANTHUS HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1650m 14 runners

Race 1 ("OSMANTHUS HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-05-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MEEPMEEP, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won, with ORIENTAL SURPRISE second and GO GO GO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite GO GO GO finished 3rd.

Track detail
Hammer 8.04

Result

Official · 1:40.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly E/PC/TT 1:40.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size 2 3.8
2 13 ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes 13 59.0 1-1/4
3 11 GO GO GO PC/TT K Teetan · W Y So 4 3.5 1-1/4
4 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 6.3 1-3/4
5 10 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 12.0 2-1/2
6 4 MEGA FORCE Closed strongly B2/TT J Orman · P C Ng 3 28.0 4-1/4
7 6 LUCKY GENERATIONS Closed strongly B J Moreira · C Fownes 12 12.0 8-1/4
8 14 ALL EYES ON ME Closed strongly M L Yeung · C W Chang 14 74.0 10-1/4
9 12 PHANTOM CYCLONE Closed strongly V A Badel · K H Ting 8 12.0 11-3/4
10 7 CONCORDE STAR Closed strongly P1/TT E Brown · Y S Tsui 9 70.0 16-3/4
11 8 FORTUNE WARRIOR Led early B-/XB-/CP2/TT- E C W Wong · C H Yip 5 88.0 17
12 5 SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT H Y Yuen · K L Man 10 10.0 20-1/4
13 3 FLOOF TT A Atzeni · B Crawford 11 35.0 25
14 2 SMART CITY CP/XB Z Purton · P F Yiu 6 15.0 71-1/2
0 SUPER HONG KONG B/TT · C H Yip
0 SPARKLE AND GOLD CP2/TT · C H Yip

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEEPMEEP2. ORIENTAL SURPRISE+1.25L3. GO GO GO+1.25L4. HAILTOTHEVICTORS+1.75L5. HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER+2.5L6. MEGA FORCE+4.25L7. LUCKY GENERATIONS+8.25L8. ALL EYES ON ME+10.25L9. PHANTOM CYCLONE+11.75L10. CONCORDE STAR+16.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MEEPMEEP (18.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 MEEPMEEP 18.4% 5.43 1
2 6 LUCKY GENERATIONS 11.6% 8.60 7
3 11 GO GO GO 11.1% 9.03 3
4 2 SMART CITY 9.8% 10.19 14
5 12 PHANTOM CYCLONE 9.8% 10.24 9
6 1 HAILTOTHEVICTORS 8.8% 11.40 4
7 10 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 6.6% 15.19 5
8 3 FLOOF 5.6% 17.74 13
9 4 MEGA FORCE 5.2% 19.40 6
10 7 CONCORDE STAR 3.3% 30.49 10
11 13 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 3.2% 31.06 2
12 5 SPANGLE FORTUNE 2.8% 35.97 12
13 14 ALL EYES ON ME 2.4% 41.02 8
14 8 FORTUNE WARRIOR 1.4% 69.00 11
MEEPMEEP — wonLUCKY GENERATIONSGO GO GOSMART CITYPHANTOM CYCLONEHAILTOTHEVICTORSHAPPYDEARHAPPYDEERFLOOFMEGA FORCECONCORDE STARORIENTAL SURPRISESPANGLE FORTUNEALL EYES ON MEFORTUNE WARRIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 38.5

PLACE

9 15.5

11 15

13 156

QUINELLA

9,13 1,490

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 28

9,13 408

11,13 443.5

FORECAST

9,13 2,215

TIERCE

9,13,11 10,103

TRIO

9,11,13 1,397

FIRST 4

1,9,11,13 1,314

QUARTET

9,13,11,1 49,644