沙田 · 2026-05-06 · 13:45
CARNATION HANDICAP
第 7場
2026-05-06沙田第7場「CARNATION HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、M Newnham訓練的NOTTHESILLYONE勝出。HAPPY SHOOTER獲得亞軍；GOOD CHAP獲得季軍。5.8倍大熱門HAPPY SHOOTER跑獲第2名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE TT 1:10.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 14.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY SHOOTER TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | GOOD CHAP B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 7 | 7.4 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 6.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | BIGTIME GENERATION SR/XB H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | CONRAD THE GREAT XB-/SR/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 8.3 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | MAPOGO TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 5 | 6.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FULL OF LAUGHTER SR-/B1/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 12 | 113.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | NATURAL HIGH V C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 1 | 6.9 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | GOOD LUCK BABE B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 10 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | SILVER SPURS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SKY PHOENIX K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 11 | 36.0 | 21-1/2 |
| — | 0 | STARRY SHOW B · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | INVICTUS DRAGON · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MAPOGO | 19.2% | 5.22 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | HAPPY SHOOTER | 13.4% | 7.47 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | GOOD CHAP | 11.9% | 8.41 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | FUN N FUN TOGETHER | 11.6% | 8.60 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | NATURAL HIGH | 9.2% | 10.87 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 7.6% | 13.12 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | CONRAD THE GREAT | 6.4% | 15.53 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | NOTTHESILLYONE | 6.3% | 15.89 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | SILVER SPURS | 5.5% | 18.04 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | BIGTIME GENERATION | 5.2% | 19.28 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | SKY PHOENIX | 2.6% | 38.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | FULL OF LAUGHTER | 1.0% | 97.08 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 141
PLACE
1 48
4 24.5
5 21.5
QUINELLA
1,5 443
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 155.5
1,5 150.5
4,5 83.5
FORECAST
1,5 1,150
TIERCE
1,5,4 8,066
TRIO
1,4,5 1,196
FIRST 4
1,3,4,5 1,247
QUARTET
1,5,4,3 39,035
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,13/1,4,5 329,779
6TH DOUBLE
13/1 1,303.5
13/5 133.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,10/1,2,13/Any Combination 45,029