跑馬地 · 2026-05-27 · 10:40
DORDOGNE HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-05-27跑馬地第1場「DORDOGNE HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的BASIC INSTINCT勝出。BINGO BABE獲得亞軍；EXCEED THE WISH獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門EXCEED THE WISH跑獲第3名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT 1:09.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | BINGO BABE CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH H Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 3 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | WINNING DIAMOND E2 H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 5 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VON BAER B2/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | GIMME FIVE B L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY ACTION B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | BRAVE WIN B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | SPORTIC WARRIOR CP-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 126.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING CHRISTIE V/XB/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 4 | 93.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY GENERATIONS B · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | THOUSAND CUPS TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH | 19.8% | 5.05 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | NOBLE DELUXE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | SOLAR RIVER | 15.0% | 6.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT | 8.4% | 11.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | WINNING DIAMOND | 8.3% | 12.11 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | BRAVE WIN | 7.0% | 14.28 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | BINGO BABE | 6.3% | 15.97 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY ACTION | 5.4% | 18.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | VON BAER | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | GIMME FIVE | 4.4% | 22.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.9% | 53.46 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 1.9% | 53.58 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 40.5
PLACE
9 16
10 14.5
11 40
QUINELLA
9,11 316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 31.5
9,11 97.5
10,11 91
FORECAST
9,11 614
TIERCE
9,11,10 2,294
TRIO
9,10,11 392
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 550
QUARTET
9,11,10,8 16,619