Happy Valley · 2026-05-27 · 10:40
DORDOGNE HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("DORDOGNE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-27 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BASIC INSTINCT, ridden by C L Chau and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with BINGO BABE second and EXCEED THE WISH third. The 3.7 favourite EXCEED THE WISH finished 3rd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT 1:09.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 11 | BINGO BABE CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH H Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 3 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | WINNING DIAMOND E2 H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 5 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 6 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | VON BAER B2/TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 10 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | GIMME FIVE B L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 7 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY ACTION B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 12 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | BRAVE WIN B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | SPORTIC WARRIOR CP-/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 126.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING CHRISTIE V/XB/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 4 | 93.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY GENERATIONS B · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | THOUSAND CUPS TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EXCEED THE WISH | 19.8% | 5.05 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | NOBLE DELUXE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | SOLAR RIVER | 15.0% | 6.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | BASIC INSTINCT | 8.4% | 11.86 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | WINNING DIAMOND | 8.3% | 12.11 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | BRAVE WIN | 7.0% | 14.28 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | BINGO BABE | 6.3% | 15.97 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | HAPPY ACTION | 5.4% | 18.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | VON BAER | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 10 | 6 | GIMME FIVE | 4.4% | 22.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.9% | 53.46 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING CHRISTIE | 1.9% | 53.58 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 40.5
PLACE
9 16
10 14.5
11 40
QUINELLA
9,11 316.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 31.5
9,11 97.5
10,11 91
FORECAST
9,11 614
TIERCE
9,11,10 2,294
TRIO
9,10,11 392
FIRST 4
8,9,10,11 550
QUARTET
9,11,10,8 16,619