Happy Valley · 2026-05-27 · 12:10
CIRON HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("CIRON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BRIGHT DAY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K L Man, won, with LOVING VIBES second and KWAI CHUNG TALENTS third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY V/TT 1:09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 2.1 | — |
| 2 | 11 | LOVING VIBES TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 12 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS H1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | GRACEFUL HEART CP/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 80.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 7 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | LIGHTNING ACE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 47.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | SMART FIGHTER E Brown · P F Yiu | E Brown | P F Yiu | 4 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE B/TT H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 5 | 6.2 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | NATURAL HIGH V C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 2 | 38.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | JUSTIFYING XB1/TT- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 12.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | COUNTRY PRIDE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 7.3 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SPIRITED STEED · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUPREME FEELING B/TT1 · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BRIGHT DAY | 25.2% | 3.97 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FIND MY LOVE | 19.2% | 5.20 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | COUNTRY PRIDE | 11.0% | 9.11 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | LOVING VIBES | 9.4% | 10.59 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | JUSTIFYING | 7.6% | 13.12 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 6.8% | 14.66 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | NATURAL HIGH | 5.7% | 17.45 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 5.3% | 18.74 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | SMART FIGHTER | 4.4% | 22.68 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS | 2.1% | 47.92 | 3 |
| 11 | 8 | GRACEFUL HEART | 1.8% | 55.69 | 4 |
| 12 | 10 | LIGHTNING ACE | 1.4% | 73.85 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 21.5
PLACE
5 11.5
9 58.5
11 49
QUINELLA
5,11 232.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 108
5,11 87.5
9,11 564.5
FORECAST
5,11 435
TIERCE
5,11,9 5,386
TRIO
5,9,11 1,625
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 11,317
QUARTET
5,11,9,8 139,315
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
3/5 203.5
3/11 202.5