Happy Valley · 2026-05-27 · 14:50
SEINE HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("SEINE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-27 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SON PAK FU, ridden by P N Wong and trained by A S Cruz, won, with GUMMY GUMMY second and SPICY GOLD third. The 2.9 favourite ROBOT LUCKY STAR finished 4th.
Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SON PAK FU B/TT 1:10.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · A S Cruz | P N Wong | A S Cruz | 7 | 9.8 | — |
| 2 | 5 | GUMMY GUMMY CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 6 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | SPICY GOLD M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 118.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ROBOT LUCKY STAR A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 1 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | KING LOTUS CP L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MATTERS MOST B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 9 | 20.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 11 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE B E Brown · D J Whyte | E Brown | D J Whyte | 2 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SKY CAP TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.7 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | FLYING HUNTER H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 12 | 204.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | HONEST WITNESS B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 3.3 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LOOKING BRIGHT TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HONEST WITNESS | 32.1% | 3.11 | 12 |
| 2 | 11 | ROBOT LUCKY STAR | 23.0% | 4.34 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | SKY CAP | 11.6% | 8.63 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN | 8.9% | 11.18 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | SON PAK FU | 6.6% | 15.24 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | GUMMY GUMMY | 4.7% | 21.10 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | MATTERS MOST | 3.4% | 29.60 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | RED ELEGANCE | 2.6% | 38.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | SPORTS LEGEND | 2.5% | 39.22 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | KING LOTUS | 2.5% | 40.58 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | SPICY GOLD | 1.2% | 81.49 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | FLYING HUNTER | 0.8% | 126.86 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 98.5
PLACE
1 24.5
5 30
12 211
QUINELLA
1,5 450.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 126
1,12 973
5,12 1,163.5
FORECAST
1,5 802
TIERCE
1,5,12 29,537
TRIO
1,5,12 9,328
FIRST 4
1,5,11,12 7,455
QUARTET
1,5,12,11 271,535
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
4,9/3/1 5,045
4,9/3/5 1,099
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/1,5,12 542,316
8TH DOUBLE
3/1 699.5
3/5 327.5
SIX UP
5/2/9/4,9/3/1 126,291
5,11/2,6/8,9/4,9,12/1,3/1,5 5,329
2 [J Moreira] —
10 [A S Cruz] —