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Happy Valley · 2026-05-27 · 11:40

RHINE HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course B 12 runners

Race 3 ("RHINE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-27 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with WITHALLMYFAITH second and LEGEND WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite WITHALLMYFAITH finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT Closed strongly TT 1:39.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 4 5.8
2 1 WITHALLMYFAITH Led early B/XB Z Purton · D A Hayes 3 2.5 N
3 2 LEGEND WINNER Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 5 15.0 1
4 6 MR COOL Closed strongly CP2/TT K Teetan · F C Lor 10 6.0 2-3/4
5 8 ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 1 10.0 3-3/4
6 10 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly TT E Brown · P F Yiu 2 4.9 5-1/4
7 5 BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 12 44.0 5-1/2
8 11 GLORIOUS RYDER Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · D Eustace 8 46.0 5-3/4
9 12 INCANTO STAR Closed strongly B-/CP1 A Atzeni · D J Hall 9 32.0 7-1/4
10 4 HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 11 46.0 7-1/2
11 7 LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 6 55.0 14-3/4
12 9 WIN EASE B1/TT J Orman · K W Lui 7 92.0 21
0 CONRAD THE GREAT SR/TT · D J Whyte
0 CAN'T GO WONG B/TT · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AUDACIOUS PURSUIT2. WITHALLMYFAITH+0.05L3. LEGEND WINNER+1L4. MR COOL+2.75L5. ROMANTIC LAOS+3.75L6. PRESTIGE RICKY+5.25L7. BEAUTY VIVA+5.5L8. GLORIOUS RYDER+5.75L9. INCANTO STAR+7.25L10. HARMONY GALAXY+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WITHALLMYFAITH (34.9%) finished 2nd — the winner AUDACIOUS PURSUIT was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 WITHALLMYFAITH 34.9% 2.87 2
2 3 AUDACIOUS PURSUIT 12.0% 8.33 1
3 6 MR COOL 9.3% 10.72 4
4 10 PRESTIGE RICKY 8.3% 12.09 6
5 8 ROMANTIC LAOS 8.3% 12.10 5
6 2 LEGEND WINNER 7.3% 13.79 3
7 12 INCANTO STAR 6.6% 15.23 9
8 4 HARMONY GALAXY 3.4% 29.50 10
9 11 GLORIOUS RYDER 3.3% 30.12 8
10 5 BEAUTY VIVA 2.8% 35.47 7
11 7 LO PAN SPIRIT 2.0% 48.78 11
12 9 WIN EASE 1.8% 54.09 12
WITHALLMYFAITHAUDACIOUS PURSUIT — wonMR COOLPRESTIGE RICKYROMANTIC LAOSLEGEND WINNERINCANTO STARHARMONY GALAXYGLORIOUS RYDERBEAUTY VIVALO PAN SPIRITWIN EASE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 58.5

PLACE

1 12

2 39

3 18

QUINELLA

1,3 77.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 66.5

1,3 32.5

2,3 113

FORECAST

3,1 186

TIERCE

3,1,2 1,589

TRIO

1,2,3 303

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 343

QUARTET

3,1,2,6 8,259

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/1,2,3 23,844

2ND DOUBLE

7/1 14

7/3 162