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Happy Valley · 2026-05-27 · 13:45

CIRON HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course B 11 runners

Race 7 ("CIRON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-27 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY MCQUEEN, ridden by J Moreira and trained by W K Mo, won, with LEAN MASTER second and NEW POWER third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #4 GAMEPLAYER ELITE — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:10.16
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT 1:10.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · W K Mo 6 3.3
2 12 LEAN MASTER B/TT P N Wong · C H Yip 9 14.0 N
3 6 NEW POWER M Chadwick · C W Chang 4 20.0 1/2
4 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE P1 Z Purton · J Size 10 4.5 1-3/4
5 11 JOLLY COMPANION B-/V1/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 2 10.0 2
6 2 HAPPY SHOOTER TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 8 13.0 2-3/4
7 7 CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 7 6.6 3-1/2
8 5 RYUI KOKOROE BO H Bowman · D A Hayes 12 24.0 4
9 3 HAYDAY M F Poon · P F Yiu 1 7.0 4
10 10 TACTICAL COMMAND B A Atzeni · M Newnham 5 16.0 4-3/4
11 8 SOO KOO SR M L Yeung · K W Lui 3 115.0 11-1/4
0 SUPER SIXTY XB E C W Wong · C Fownes
0 FORERUNNER CP/TT · W K Mo
4 GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LUCKY MCQUEEN2. LEAN MASTER+0.05L3. NEW POWER+0.5L4. SPIRIT OF PEACE+1.75L5. JOLLY COMPANION+2L6. HAPPY SHOOTER+2.75L7. CALIFORNIA BAY+3.5L8. RYUI KOKOROE+4L9. HAYDAY+4L10. TACTICAL COMMAND+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SPIRIT OF PEACE (18.9%) finished 4th — the winner LUCKY MCQUEEN was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE 18.9% 5.30 4
2 3 HAYDAY 14.2% 7.04 9
3 9 LUCKY MCQUEEN 13.0% 7.71 1
4 7 CALIFORNIA BAY 10.5% 9.57 7
5 2 HAPPY SHOOTER 9.4% 10.64 6
6 10 TACTICAL COMMAND 8.0% 12.49 10
7 11 JOLLY COMPANION 7.0% 14.32 5
8 5 RYUI KOKOROE 6.8% 14.80 8
9 6 NEW POWER 6.5% 15.40 3
10 12 LEAN MASTER 4.9% 20.41 2
11 8 SOO KOO 1.0% 102.93 11
SPIRIT OF PEACEHAYDAYLUCKY MCQUEEN — wonCALIFORNIA BAYHAPPY SHOOTERTACTICAL COMMANDJOLLY COMPANIONRYUI KOKOROENEW POWERLEAN MASTERSOO KOO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 33.5

PLACE

6 56

9 15

12 43.5

QUINELLA

9,12 259

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 125.5

6,12 468

9,12 93

FORECAST

9,12 454

TIERCE

9,12,6 6,736

TRIO

6,9,12 1,538

FIRST 4

1,6,9,12 2,244

QUARTET

9,12,6,1 40,003

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/6,12>4,9 141,285

6TH DOUBLE

9/4,9 144

9/12 166.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,5,6/7,8,9/6,12>4,9 1,179,958

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,5,6/7,8,9/Any Combination 5,328